TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,860,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,237,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,860,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 952 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes65c6,507,565$4,206,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,206,372.931145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No36c2,288,844$824,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464,010.822951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No35c904,293$317,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587,226.277146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked No35c669,951$234,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435,468.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Yes65c663,602$428,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428,517.17837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No35c501,110$177,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323,388.1710443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No35c307,692$107,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199,999.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed No40c212,923$86,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126,747.832475%18 W · 6 L+6.3wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No36c142,241$51,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,094.232832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Yes63c139,999$88,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,199.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c138,573$51,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,362.012,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c117,432$43,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,538.146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No35c113,044$39,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,218.7933851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No36c111,801$40,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,354.9839746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No34c99,999$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,999.194658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No35c95,000$33,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,55028643.7%125 W · 161 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No36c92,220$33,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,020.771844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked No35c75,000$26,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,7501266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No36c64,777$23,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,658.8410636.8%39 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No37c63,000$23,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,7105545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No36c52,200$18,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,4083151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No40c51,320$20,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,579.048258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No41c47,000$19,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,949.878751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No35c42,351$14,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,528.098259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed No36c40,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,599.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No38c37,798$14,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,434.847943%34 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No35c37,776$13,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,705.513843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No36c33,333$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,333.333237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No29c32,932$9,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,227.621070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+39.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed No36c31,500$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,249.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+103.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No36c30,000$10,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,3003447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes61c28,465$17,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,505.4766446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed No37c24,500$9,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,435540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes63c22,283$14,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,139.116251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes69c22,238$15,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,407.383857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No36c21,890$7,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,009.64346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes71c21,333$15,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,146.438155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No29c21,264$6,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,097.131050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No35c20,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,0001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed No36c20,000$7,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,850683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+109.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No39c20,000$7,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,1258647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed Yes60c20,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c19,632$6,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,672.4560041.8%251 W · 349 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No37c19,229$7,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,114.382729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes61c18,870$11,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,584.0610845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No35c18,185$6,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,742.131764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes61c16,393$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed No38c15,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,299.99875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+81.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes59c14,569$8,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,595.821942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No37c13,773$5,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,627.0258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes59c12,500$7,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3753545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked No36c12,500$4,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0254100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+121.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36e7…5b61backed Yes66c12,000$7,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,92010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No36c12,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,68010850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No36c11,925$4,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,639.951735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes48c11,750$5,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,676728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed No37c11,331$4,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,084.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+106.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes61c11,225$6,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,863.2927247.1%128 W · 144 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No37c10,811$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,810.811040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked No47c10,557$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,556.611752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x926c…a86bbacked Yes1c10,118$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No38c10,061$3,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.245550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No35c10,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,50013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes73c10,000$7,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,298.074946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No34c9,999$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.3412147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No39c9,645$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,920.0415442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Yes47c9,372$4,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,435.621145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed No36c9,000$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,790580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+172.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No35c9,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,819.995350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No39c8,684$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,320.5318160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No39c8,633$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,268.9710733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9027…4e9ebacked Yes61c8,197$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Yes60c8,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,800944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+57.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No35c7,888$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,107.7615550.3%78 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed No40c7,600$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,560475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No37c7,501$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,725.939348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No37c6,485$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070.276259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes66c6,412$4,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,203.05825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8407346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No35c5,550$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,607.510760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No37c5,536$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4811968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No35c5,526$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,592.211650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes60c5,112$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,076.1316144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95011218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No35c5,000$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2751250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes62c4,839$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcdc…500dbacked Yes62c4,653$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-52.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84a9…b878backed No36c4,528$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,897.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No40c4,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.975066%33 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes45c4,468$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.84766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed No37c4,447$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick56cpaid+70.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No55c4,444$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.973348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Yes58c4,365$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No35c4,248$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.97966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes60c4,225$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.959341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7207750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Yes59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3601338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes55c3,985$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.8740143.4%174 W · 227 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Yes60c3,952$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3711631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.