Champions League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4331e373a63c9ea0faf631a6215e46aabd7a81e9a9e5c39d499f48dd4b5ed11e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 27,658$4,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.15 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 19c | 26,585$5,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,051.16 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 19c | 12,367$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Yes | 17c | 9,999$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Yes | 11c | 9,132$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 18c | 6,378$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.07 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Yes | 19c | 5,600$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 5,464$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.96 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…932fbacked Yes | 20c | 5,382$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Yes | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 18c | 3,945$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.99 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,354$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.99 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…be97backed Yes | 7c | 2,525$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…bcd0backed Yes | 20c | 1,800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,780$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 22c | 1,505$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 1,134$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 18c | 1,097$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.97 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 17c | 966.32$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 10c | 873.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 76c | 744.59$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 15c | 699.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 15c | 691$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 16c | 613.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 20c | 613.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 15c | 603$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 18c | 597.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 19c | 573.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 14c | 566$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…e828backed Yes | 20c | 560$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 19c | 471.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 19c | 470$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…5942backed Yes | 13c | 457.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 15c | 402.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 18c | 400.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 12c | 387.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 80c | 380.72$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4777backed Yes | 15c | 380.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 14c | 364.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 16c | 346.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d05bbacked Yes | 8c | 339.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 15c | 323.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 9c | 304.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…2291backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e7…e574backed Yes | 17c | 293.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 16c | 289.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7451…e339backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…0e6dbacked Yes | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 18c | 237.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 11c | 231$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 17c | 229$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Yes | 12c | 222$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 212$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 191.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…9023backed Yes | 16c | 185.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 16c | 183.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…d006backed Yes | 17c | 172.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…321dbacked Yes | 19c | 159.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…783bbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…e858backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…4129backed Yes | 17c | 141.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…56babacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9d9dbacked Yes | 17c | 132.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e25…d2b8backed Yes | 15c | 132$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…ea39backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…5383backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 13c | 123.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 18c | 121.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…c800backed Yes | 17c | 120.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Yes | 16c | 120.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…0f91backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…5cd8backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 18c | 116.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 17c | 111.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.