TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes51c18,712$9,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,189.146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No80c10,093$8,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,074.43751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No80c8,454$6,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,763.492445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No49c6,522$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.7439743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes19c6,493$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,259.6526645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c5,879$4,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,413.4858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes19c4,129$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,341.3943427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c3,960$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.021,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8212…6677backed No74c3,081$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No80c2,563$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7c…eab7backed No80c2,513$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.43540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c2,509$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.471,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e34…932fbacked No59c2,436$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f5d…78fbbacked Yes29c1,400$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+250%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No80c1,324$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0591540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed No80c1,322$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.92955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…6190backed Yes22c1,277$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+129.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c1,243$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.5163346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes19c1,237$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.846225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c1,152$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.7959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes14c1,125$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.835034%17 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79013234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Yes54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c693.06$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5844033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes19c618.25$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.8313931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes19c617$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.7739746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Yes20c600$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes52c590$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.25923.7%14 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc4…3c1dbacked No80c556.25$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4451618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.322450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes21c523.81$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf662…3e84backed Yes69c497.44$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No80c477.25$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.82161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked Yes56c420.36$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.091080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes19c418.57$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.0413149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x556b…454cbacked Yes68c406.36$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-50.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No47c399.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.998840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No43c396.45$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5120042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Yes68c389.95$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.751553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes20c386.08$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.866141%25 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Yes13c380$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1227…4c44backed Yes31c328.73$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No50c324.02$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.136943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes51c306.38$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.166259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes19c305.33$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3310431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24014650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2438647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes20c285$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6938043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No35c277.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.546817.6%12 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes26c251.72$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.923637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes21c240$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.68032.5%26 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+162.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes19c215.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.886251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes21c214.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.299644.8%43 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1625424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77e7…88adbacked Yes65c198.95$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.484216.7%7 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ad5…1d61backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes42c178.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.572025%5 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No80c170$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1366659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e1…e114backed Yes20c150.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.311833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f67…e575backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Yes54c142.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Yes20c140$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+93.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes21c132.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3512644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…c535backed Yes71c124.03$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…4aebbacked No74c121.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35df…6da2backed Yes21c119.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes18c115.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0535860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No80c112.69$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.156159%36 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a6…6987backed Yes19c110.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.531233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No43c106.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.094852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c6…6d71backed Yes73c105.51$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.071040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.269426.6%25 W · 69 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbfd…46f8backed Yes21c104.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.761650%8 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+113.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes70c101.66$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+85.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ec…27aebacked Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a4…554abacked No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.831450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+76.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c99.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.651764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes52c98.17$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.983953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.243923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.244528.9%13 W · 32 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+78.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes20c92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.65534.5%19 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No63c90.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.661643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb15…cbdabacked Yes50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes20c75.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7813759.1%81 W · 56 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No80c75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609650%48 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No73c75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7529142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd302…0311backed Yes20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e25…d2b8backed Yes27c74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe480…a9a4backed Yes28c71.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.69742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…f74fbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.43616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes67c71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4320343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.