TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Warriors (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Warriors, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$664,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$669,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $664,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Warriors52c387,916$201,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,706.4187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers50c240,698$121,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,380.221,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Clippers48c234,692$112,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,106.9126253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Warriors48c50,751$24,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,360.5617031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc2e7…be51backed Warriors52c45,252$23,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,530.8310049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers48c11,439$5,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,948.073,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab0c…3026backed Clippers48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1601637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors49c6,735$3,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,316.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers49c5,734$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.342,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Warriors53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008043.8%35 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors38c3,933$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers71c3,788$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.633,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Warriors50c3,404$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.9429748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Clippers48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Clippers49c2,969$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.3933447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors33c2,918$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.213,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…c9b0backed Clippers68c2,264$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+53.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Clippers48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04022845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Clippers48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0406949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Warriors50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Clippers49c1,999$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.495352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Clippers49c1,995$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.792,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Warriors51c1,790$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.143534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors48c1,426$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Warriors52c1,420$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.29341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Clippers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Clippers49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Clippers49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51022846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Clippers49c666$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.667055.7%39 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Warriors48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Clippers53c552.77$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3857250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors49c495.67$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.814,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe28f…be21backed Warriors43c493.43$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2135635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Clippers50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22510751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Warriors33c425.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.335646.4%26 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed Clippers49c401.51$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.774158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Clippers48c364.22$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3911060%66 W · 44 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Warriors53c339.62$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014054.3%76 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked Warriors52c300.62$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.324323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Clippers73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8148957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Warriors53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Clippers54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7815052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Clippers48c250.93$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.372,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Warriors43c244.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3112644.4%56 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Warriors53c238.1$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1940952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Clippers50c219.39$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9721753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Clippers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.086266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Clippers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Clippers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10251651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Clippers65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7015959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Clippers48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c79…1bd5backed Clippers51c199.18$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.62245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Clippers70c196.76$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…ea4abacked Clippers48c142.65$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.261872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+59.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a73…943cbacked Warriors51c119.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Clippers50c110.2$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.217155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Warriors46c103.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3812727.6%35 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Clippers66c100.15$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1516853%89 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Warriors51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8934…a13cbacked Clippers75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99af…fedcbacked Clippers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Warriors52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Warriors52c90.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.211,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Clippers64c81.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2519756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Warriors53c71.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8638347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Clippers49c70.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.855345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Warriors53c69.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.324653.3%131 W · 115 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Warriors53c59.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.548347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Clippers54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5651651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Clippers47c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1550347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Warriors53c51.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.542551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…3667backed Warriors52c50.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30b5…5f24backed Warriors53c50.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Clippers45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.511847.5%56 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Warriors53c47.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3611647.4%55 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1c3…be5abacked Clippers48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Warriors31c38.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9330616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Warriors52c36.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1965950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors47c33.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.652,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Clippers50c33.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6619147.1%90 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Clippers54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.823445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb308…19debacked Warriors52c29.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.551926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Clippers49c29.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2313563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Clippers48c29.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.122247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Warriors50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.537949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f60…f897backed Warriors53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd4a…7f18backed Clippers53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.36251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc806…ade6backed Clippers53c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e8…64e4backed Warriors52c27.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.292737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Warriors52c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2744844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked Warriors53c23.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.438744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6cf…faaabacked Warriors52c23.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.983847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Clippers50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1134849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Warriors52c20.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7516354%88 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.