TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37e8…64e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$64.91
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+393.4%+$43.47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$52.56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.84
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$15.74
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$11.05
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+34%+$10.21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$12.71
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$13.25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$69.99
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$68.87
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST3366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.99
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.66
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Utah vs. Hurricanesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$26.52
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$14.5
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.98
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.47
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+34.1%+$9.09
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.93
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.42
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+46.2%+$12.24
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$9.54
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.95
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.25
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+98%+$10.89
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.81
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+120.9%+$18.38
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.76
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+109.3%+$11.66
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34.3%+$4.62
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.86
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.56
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.04
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.23
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.85
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.26
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+138.1%+$18.33
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+143.9%+$17.25
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.65
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.93
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.16
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$31.88
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.74
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.24
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.55
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.07
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.67
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25.01
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.06
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$13.88
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+488.2%+$61.91
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.91
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.48
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.21
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.89
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.74
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+314.7%+$512.25
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$158
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.42
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$104.37
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$69.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$43.02
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54.69
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$62.68
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+441.6%+$353.99
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.84
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$36.1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.05
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7.72
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.87
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$12.33
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.43
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$19.87
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$18.19
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.69
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+115.9%+$62.96
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$11.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: WATERMELON vs Flame Sharks (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stagebacked Flame Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.