TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Blues, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,055,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,083,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,055,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 992 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf195…8057backed Stars60c301,726$180,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,610.285352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Blues40c239,255$95,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,702.1910840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Blues41c160,000$65,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,6009548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Stars59c50,064$29,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,526.3122443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Blues37c38,141$14,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,083.041,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Stars59c22,345$13,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,161.452231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars61c21,451$13,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,3141,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blues41c15,000$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,15048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Blues41c15,000$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,149.9914940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blues15c13,956$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.3585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Stars59c13,336$7,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,467.851,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars59c13,316$7,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,464.7647951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Blues41c13,199$5,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,411.6556152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Blues41c12,053$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Stars59c10,274$6,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,192.561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars58c9,735$5,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.071,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Stars59c8,575$5,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.748453.6%45 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars59c7,500$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0751,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Stars59c7,328$4,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.514252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Stars63c7,104$4,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.6450049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blues38c6,852$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.8167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues37c6,751$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.981,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Blues11c6,667$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.1458467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues39c6,500$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.991,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Stars58c5,038$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.356649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blues41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Stars60c4,999$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.715145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Stars63c4,545$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.4857157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Stars59c4,543$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.511,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues41c4,500$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.9960337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Stars60c4,348$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.8861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…b6e9backed Stars60c4,266$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Stars59c4,201$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.5533243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Blues40c4,061$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.2617057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Blues40c4,016$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.817347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blues37c3,690$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.0395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Stars60c3,631$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.121,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Blues38c3,366$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.2519051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Stars58c3,333$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.8425447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Blues42c3,307$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3895853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Stars55c3,260$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.3739344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars60c3,250$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.1668449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blues16c3,239$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.332,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Stars59c3,200$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.9943548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Stars59c3,012$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23510848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars59c2,947$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.571,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Stars54c2,809$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.826946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stars58c2,754$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.381,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Blues39c2,746$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.054346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Stars59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5b…1ab3backed Blues42c2,497$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Blues1c2,459$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.594323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa22e…fe32backed Stars60c2,435$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68e…8607backed Stars61c2,299$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x279f…6629backed Blues39c2,280$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Blues46c2,121$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.6632744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Blues41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8208134.6%28 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues49c1,944$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.6389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars59c1,902$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.9548050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Blues41c1,819$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.6793953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blues42c1,800$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75644551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Stars59c1,778$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.973542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Stars59c1,746$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.5845955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Blues43c1,744$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe1…ea1abacked Blues41c1,690$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe072…beb5backed Stars62c1,499$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.621145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x647e…dc01backed Blues38c1,499$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f7…a4b5backed Stars62c1,496$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x251d…c10cbacked Blues38c1,496$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.481040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84c6…3dd2backed Blues38c1,493$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.341346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa258…8b4bbacked Stars62c1,493$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.341258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c4…120dbacked Blues38c1,492$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.96825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x368a…b220backed Stars62c1,492$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.961060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc664…84f3backed Stars62c1,492$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.961060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a4…8ca2backed Blues38c1,492$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…0372backed Blues38c1,490$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59b4…dc8fbacked Stars62c1,490$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.21250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf8…5b7fbacked Stars62c1,490$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ccd…c91ebacked Blues38c1,490$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc00c…770ebacked Blues38c1,485$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfbc…1c20backed Stars62c1,485$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.31050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9b…f1f1backed Blues38c1,480$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6b6…c0dbbacked Stars62c1,480$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.41346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…9a46backed Stars62c1,477$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.261258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4170…c776backed Blues38c1,477$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.261338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7c…cb21backed Stars62c1,472$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.361442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9b…3463backed Blues38c1,472$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.361118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-72.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x164a…a663backed Blues38c1,469$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.221050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5969…219abacked Stars62c1,469$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.221346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80a…c5fcbacked Stars62c1,466$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.081369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+53.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64d9…e977backed Blues38c1,466$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x474e…f509backed Stars62c1,466$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.081172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39e0…d4aebacked Blues38c1,466$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.081353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c6…575abacked Blues38c1,465$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.71250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d0…f16abacked Stars62c1,465$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.71241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5421…f594backed Stars62c1,462$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.561540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa677…2f03backed Blues38c1,462$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f68…1d9abacked Blues38c1,460$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.81464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f04…ff63backed Stars62c1,460$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.