NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Stars: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41f878f2d30fe62298a7a1d25ea0643ba7269e11313b533b456ee9ebcec0d974
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 53c | 27,475$14,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,561.73 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 47c | 24,410$11,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,937.25 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…0a52backed Under | 46c | 19,600$9,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,584 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…67a7backed Over | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…fb7ebacked Over | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…878fbacked Over | 54c | 2,100$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,008$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.47 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 1,069$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.52 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 80c | 944.45$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.89 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 730.92$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 68c | 665.75$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.16 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 536$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.31 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 509.52$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 50c | 493$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 444$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 49c | 408$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.96 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 34c | 404$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 52c | 347$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 46c | 304.08$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.2 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 47c | 268.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 267.53$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 20c | 189$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Over | 56c | 179.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 23c | 148$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 142$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 47c | 118.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 101.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 42c | 92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 46c | 78.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 57c | 71.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 51c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Under | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 54c | 50.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…272dbacked Under | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 50c | 31.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 54c | 28.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 26.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 49c | 25.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…0ed2backed Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…c78abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 54c | 19.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 263 | 57.8%152 W · 111 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Stars: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. StarsStars won
- Blues vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.