NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa00f53de09ac090ccc471fe390c2692a5a1a9792bd3c77b6015cd54c88510751
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Stars, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb27e…6a35backed Stars | 38c | 1,020$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…3d80backed Stars | 39c | 940$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 55c | 552.74$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.73 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blues | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63f…ee7fbacked Blues | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…7f42backed Blues | 62c | 420$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Stars | 39c | 356$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…35bdbacked Blues | 62c | 340$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 40c | 319$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…463ebacked Blues | 61c | 290$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…d0d0backed Blues | 62c | 260$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Stars | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Stars | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Stars | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Blues | 60c | 210$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…ed27backed Blues | 61c | 190$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Blues | 61c | 178.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Stars | 38c | 155.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Stars | 40c | 143.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blues | 60c | 127.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Blues | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Blues | 61c | 96.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Blues | 60c | 94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Blues | 62c | 84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Stars | 38c | 82.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Blues | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Blues | 60c | 75.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Blues | 62c | 73.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Stars | 40c | 71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Stars | 39c | 68.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blues | 61c | 65.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Blues | 62c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Stars | 36c | 55.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blues | 64c | 53.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Stars | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Stars | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Blues | 63c | 36.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blues | 61c | 32.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Blues | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Blues | 76c | 30.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Blues | 62c | 27.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Blues | 60c | 24.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 45c | 23.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Blues | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Blues | 60c | 17.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. StarsStars won
- Blues vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.