NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ad1327bdd0b5cd5bb4ce620df05cd0e83b271055f0227ae3f734f68985540ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Magic, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,180,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,183,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,180,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 51c | 320,865$163,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,640.97 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Magic | 52c | 289,218$149,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,876.18 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wizards | 48c | 237,342$113,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,417.68 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Wizards | 51c | 131,329$66,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,953.31 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 49c | 108,989$53,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,584.72 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 50c | 100,801$50,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,321.98 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wizards | 49c | 82,493$40,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,071.42 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 49c | 80,000$39,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,799.98 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Wizards | 50c | 70,000$34,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,300 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Wizards | 49c | 63,392$31,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,329.78 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Wizards | 49c | 55,555$27,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,333.05 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Wizards | 50c | 51,331$25,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,665.5 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Magic | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Wizards | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,399.96 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wizards | 49c | 38,426$18,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,513.21 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic | 51c | 34,979$17,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,837.29 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631b…3c42backed Magic | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic | 51c | 18,342$9,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,314.13 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 49c | 16,751$8,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,461.02 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Wizards | 50c | 11,500$5,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,709.96 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…280abacked Wizards | 52c | 9,900$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc79d…ca80backed Magic | 48c | 9,895$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Magic | 50c | 8,015$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.47 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 51c | 7,995$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.45 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea2…6a02backed Magic | 49c | 7,459$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Magic | 50c | 6,574$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.83 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Magic | 50c | 4,399$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.12 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wizards | 50c | 4,320$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.38 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Magic | 49c | 4,109$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 53c | 3,319$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.87 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…583ebacked Magic | 49c | 2,984$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…d376backed Wizards | 51c | 2,984$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Magic | 51c | 2,942$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 48c | 2,849$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Magic | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Wizards | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Magic | 50c | 2,103$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.68 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Magic | 48c | 2,048$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.01 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Wizards | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Magic | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Wizards | 50c | 1,960$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 49c | 1,937$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.87 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Magic | 48c | 1,745$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.59 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Magic | 49c | 1,663$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Magic | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 49c | 1,458$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 49c | 1,326$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Wizards | 49c | 1,317$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.72 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Wizards | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Wizards | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Wizards | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Wizards | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Wizards | 50c | 818.34$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.17 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Wizards | 50c | 814.66$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.33 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Magic | 50c | 792.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Magic | 34c | 735.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Magic | 2c | 726.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Wizards | 50c | 713.7$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.85 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Wizards | 50c | 689.5$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Wizards | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Magic | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Wizards | 50c | 598.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.27 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Wizards | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Wizards | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 60c | 448.6$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Wizards | 49c | 356.79$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Magic | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Magic | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 57c | 319.24$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Wizards | 50c | 308$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Magic | 48c | 304.17$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards | 50c | 300.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Wizards | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…bbdbbacked Magic | 51c | 227.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wizards | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Wizards | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Wizards | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Magic | 39c | 194.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Magic | 51c | 193.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498e…f5c5backed Magic | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Magic | 48c | 179.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Magic | 39c | 163.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wizards | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 50c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Wizards | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf190…255fbacked Wizards | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Wizards | 61c | 131.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Magic | 50c | 129.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Magic | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Wizards | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Wizards | 50c | 111.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Magic | 48c | 101.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Wizards | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Wizards won
- Magic vs. WizardsWizards won
- Magic vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.