NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2a40a07aa957df2d2f43dc76267d977b31562e18fce7a87393c4ad324d7c9d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Magic, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $425,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 48c | 387,203$185,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185,609.3 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wizards | 52c | 250,000$130,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 52c | 101,143$52,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,548.72 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 53c | 10,204$5,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.79 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 53c | 8,500$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Wizards | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 37c | 3,923$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Wizards | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 65c | 2,973$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Magic | 45c | 2,970$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.67 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Wizards | 53c | 2,900$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.04 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 53c | 2,637$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Magic | 46c | 1,592$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.32 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Wizards | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Magic | 47c | 1,443$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.18 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Wizards | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Magic | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Magic | 46c | 932.61$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Wizards | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Wizards | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wizards | 55c | 700$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 53c | 519.55$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.19 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Wizards | 55c | 339.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.39 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Wizards | 53c | 254.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Wizards | 54c | 226.03$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498e…f5c5backed Magic | 48c | 208.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Wizards | 54c | 191$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Wizards | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Wizards | 57c | 159.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Wizards | 65c | 146.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 53c | 121$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards | 56c | 114.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Wizards | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Wizards | 54c | 103.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Wizards | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Magic | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…6d7dbacked Wizards | 53c | 93.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Wizards | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Wizards | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Wizards | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…bd0bbacked Magic | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Wizards | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wizards | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Wizards | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Wizards | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Wizards | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Wizards | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Wizards | 58c | 51.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Magic | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Wizards | 67c | 48.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Wizards | 66c | 48.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Wizards | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Magic | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Magic | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Magic | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Magic | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…4d00backed Wizards | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Wizards | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…d693backed Wizards | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…be5abacked Wizards | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Wizards | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Wizards | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Wizards | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Magic | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Magic | 43c | 32.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9c…b84dbacked Magic | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Wizards | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Magic | 47c | 29.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330e…c22abacked Wizards | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Wizards | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Magic | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Magic | 45c | 26.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Wizards | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Wizards | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Wizards | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Wizards | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Magic | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Wizards | 53c | 22.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…55b8backed Wizards | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Wizards | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed Wizards | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked Wizards | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Wizards | 64c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Wizards won
- Magic vs. WizardsWizards won
- Magic vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.