NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc60555f0ccefa8eceb37be5d0e4cf7c76e732cf6c1af71d65155d7ae0e5626
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Magic, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 52c | 17,209$8,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,871.7 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Wizards | 47c | 13,360$6,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,124.23 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f422backed Magic | 54c | 4,274$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 54c | 3,903$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.63 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Wizards | 45c | 3,880$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.58 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Wizards | 48c | 3,558$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.33 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Wizards | 46c | 3,484$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.41 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 45c | 3,248$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 49c | 3,235$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 56c | 2,650$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 53c | 2,279$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.28 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Wizards | 46c | 2,233$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.52 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Magic | 53c | 2,026$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.01 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Magic | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 47c | 1,917$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Magic | 54c | 1,833$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.82 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Magic | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 51c | 1,435$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Magic | 46c | 1,141$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.58 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 35c | 1,126$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.18 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Wizards | 65c | 1,020$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Magic | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Magic | 56c | 952.68$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Magic | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Wizards | 49c | 830.61$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.61 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wizards | 46c | 680.39$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.41 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 45c | 652.55$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.9 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Magic | 54c | 536$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.44 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Wizards | 48c | 464.22$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…a714backed Magic | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Magic | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Wizards | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Wizards | 53c | 242.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wizards | 67c | 238.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Magic | 51c | 233.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Magic | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Wizards | 53c | 169.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Magic | 39c | 154.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 55c | 141.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 45c | 135.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Wizards | 50c | 127.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Magic | 55c | 116.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wizards | 47c | 113.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab8…437abacked Magic | 53c | 113$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Magic | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Wizards | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 45c | 99.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 51c | 96.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…593bbacked Magic | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Magic | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Magic | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Magic | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Wizards | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Magic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Magic | 55c | 88.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Magic | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa892…c3acbacked Magic | 55c | 87.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wizards | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Wizards | 56c | 82.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da1…4e5fbacked Magic | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Magic | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Magic | 36c | 76.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Magic | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Magic | 54c | 71.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Magic | 55c | 67.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…6016backed Magic | 33c | 61.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Wizards | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…800cbacked Wizards | 47c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Magic | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c5…f1afbacked Wizards | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Magic | 43c | 50.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Magic | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6542…4ac3backed Magic | 53c | 49.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Magic | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Wizards | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +13.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…4d00backed Wizards | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Wizards | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9276…081ebacked Wizards | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Magic | 54c | 40.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Wizards | 65c | 39.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked Magic | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 65c | 37.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd075…b5b4backed Magic | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…7351backed Magic | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…c4edbacked Magic | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Magic | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Magic | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Magic | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Magic | 48c | 31.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Magic | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Magic | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Magic | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Wizards | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Wizards won
- Magic vs. WizardsWizards won
- Magic vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.