Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on March 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3212d5617b017eb921705f7efac850f042cf2079c921b0b197b04fe8704a4f68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,227 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x976d…430cbacked Yes | 0c | 26,709$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…ae7dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,173$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…30f4backed Yes | 0c | 7,251$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…bc67backed Yes | 33c | 2,637$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…794bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,619$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…f31cbacked No | 67c | 1,329$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f0…b6c6backed No | 67c | 1,308$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 44c | 989.99$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.35 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…15aabacked No | 11c | 711.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.98 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 52c | 564.19$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.11 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…96e3backed No | 74c | 559.43$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 32c | 541.77$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 32c | 525.11$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.02 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 69c | 482.24$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.93 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 72c | 458.35$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 49c | 413.63$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 13c | 397.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.73 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 336.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 24c | 336.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.57 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 30c | 330.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 65c | 310$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.57 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd26…5b5cbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 30c | 299.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 28c | 285.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 35c | 276.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…fc91backed Yes | 45c | 269.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 29c | 267.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad92…af55backed No | 33c | 235.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.69 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…98f1backed Yes | 18c | 223.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…0a0bbacked Yes | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 77c | 180$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 75c | 175.74$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…8c2fbacked Yes | 14c | 159.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 55c | 158.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 29c | 148.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…0ccdbacked Yes | 54c | 140.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 60c | 130.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 43c | 128.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…2a36backed Yes | 29c | 113.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 75c | 100.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b3…e5d9backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…64e4backed No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…7900backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 73c | 99.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 61c | 98.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 25c | 97.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 94.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 89.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 22c | 89.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked Yes | 22c | 89.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 73c | 89.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 16c | 85.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…9109backed Yes | 28c | 81.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…67cebacked Yes | 28c | 70.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 39c | 70.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…6a02backed No | 20c | 68.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 158 | 34.2%54 W · 104 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…ba96backed No | 72c | 68.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481f…92f0backed Yes | 35c | 66.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 39c | 65.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 27c | 64.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…722cbacked Yes | 37c | 64.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…929bbacked Yes | 66c | 62.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2517…87d9backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 66c | 59.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 64c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…c34fbacked Yes | 67c | 59.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 31c | 52.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 46c | 49.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 30c | 49.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…fc1ebacked Yes | 47c | 49.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…544fbacked Yes | 50c | 48.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e8b7backed Yes | 45c | 47.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 29c | 46.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed Yes | 44c | 46.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…251abacked Yes | 25c | 45.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…c6b9backed No | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…b313backed Yes | 29c | 41.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 34c | 40.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 39.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…9e04backed Yes | 56c | 35.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked No | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…70e3backed Yes | 38c | 34.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…e7acbacked Yes | 32c | 34.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…a6ecbacked No | 33c | 33.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…439bbacked No | 48c | 32.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 78c | 32.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 38c | 31.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on March 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on March 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.