NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5d9df1055643d68bcde22c1324d113de19e53f3ff96083a486e7b0f1ab294f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,186,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,246,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,186,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,707 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets | 42c | 418,022$177,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,089.95 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 44c | 303,468$134,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,460.77 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 4c | 166,042$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.73 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Lakers | 57c | 141,150$80,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,694.5 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d89…b02cbacked Lakers | 56c | 115,408$65,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,359.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Lakers | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,000 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nuggets | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…1795backed Lakers | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,999.94 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers | 58c | 91,500$53,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,190.83 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Lakers | 56c | 91,216$51,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,835.06 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 79,586$37,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,376 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 40c | 59,743$23,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,897.36 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 28c | 44,537$12,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,489.17 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 58c | 41,401$23,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,407.56 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,599.84 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,750 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Nuggets | 59c | 30,497$17,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,853.17 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 26c | 30,032$7,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,223.46 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Lakers | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 37c | 29,789$11,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,124.39 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers | 56c | 28,972$16,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,612.3 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Lakers | 60c | 28,417$17,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,366.67 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Lakers | 60c | 27,585$16,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,069.75 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nuggets | 43c | 25,000$10,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,650 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nuggets | 25c | 24,960$6,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,266.25 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…88c9backed Lakers | 42c | 23,793$9,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.84 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Lakers | 52c | 23,349$12,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,258.84 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 55c | 22,224$12,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,255.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Nuggets | 6c | 21,394$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.51 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…df06backed Lakers | 42c | 20,287$8,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,734.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Nuggets | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lakers | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.91 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Lakers | 53c | 18,928$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,928.32 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 51c | 18,320$9,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,947.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 56c | 18,201$10,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,961.44 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Nuggets | 74c | 18,012$13,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,410.58 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers | 55c | 17,970$9,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,057.96 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 56c | 17,767$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,767.67 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 56c | 17,152$9,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,510.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…e646backed Lakers | 53c | 16,991$9,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,985.77 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Lakers | 54c | 15,688$8,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,163.06 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nuggets | 42c | 15,000$6,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,330 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Lakers | 58c | 14,176$8,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,953.86 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Nuggets | 43c | 14,000$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,019.93 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Lakers | 41c | 13,659$5,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,046.13 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 13,641$7,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,218.69 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Nuggets | 44c | 13,636$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Lakers | 57c | 13,357$7,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,743.43 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Lakers | 57c | 13,252$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,751.88 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Lakers | 58c | 13,222$7,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,593.05 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 49c | 13,213$6,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,746.63 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lakers | 35c | 12,875$4,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,358.19 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…585cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 12,791$6,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,011.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Nuggets | 0c | 12,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nuggets | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.93 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Lakers | 63c | 11,738$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,397.92 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nuggets | 42c | 11,223$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,713.66 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Nuggets | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.84 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets | 45c | 11,104$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,948.63 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…6fdfbacked Lakers | 56c | 11,015$6,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,846.46 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Nuggets | 43c | 11,000$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Lakers | 64c | 10,853$6,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.02 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…f5f3backed Nuggets | 1c | 10,542$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Nuggets | 51c | 10,541$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,354.66 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Nuggets | 3c | 10,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…a40abacked Nuggets | 42c | 10,050$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Nuggets | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Nuggets | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Lakers | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.99 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Nuggets | 44c | 10,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.98 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Lakers | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.83 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Nuggets | 50c | 9,928$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7467…e978backed Lakers | 41c | 9,580$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,615.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Lakers | 56c | 9,236$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.95 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 47c | 9,078$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255.97 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0376…1b88backed Nuggets | 80c | 8,618$6,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,886.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 50c | 8,600$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…7798backed Nuggets | 3c | 8,512$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Lakers | 49c | 8,440$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.61 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Nuggets | 0c | 8,389$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Nuggets | 42c | 8,361$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.41 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nuggets | 1c | 8,174$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Nuggets | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…53e6backed Nuggets | 19c | 7,739$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Nuggets | 43c | 7,730$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.6 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Nuggets | 43c | 7,516$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.65 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 45c | 7,300$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,014.99 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Lakers | 41c | 7,021$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.62 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Lakers | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.18 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 26c | 6,713$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.04 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lakers | 55c | 6,700$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Nuggets | 0c | 6,510$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Nuggets | 45c | 6,289$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.09 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Nuggets | 43c | 5,688$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.39 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Lakers | 49c | 5,479$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.44 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Nuggets | 72c | 5,362$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.64 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lakers | 56c | 5,348$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.1 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.