NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa690935b917bb4188662f8e2576cc9c083f0703d2dcb5fef60746d7232e0da39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 81,349$42,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,346.09 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lakers | 48c | 20,800$9,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Lakers | 48c | 11,158$5,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,802.33 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nuggets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.97 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 48c | 5,228$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.37 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 46c | 5,084$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,900$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.99 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 41c | 2,586$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 47c | 2,541$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Lakers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 47c | 1,924$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.72 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,571$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,456$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Lakers | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Nuggets | 53c | 958$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.74 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nuggets | 55c | 634$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.7 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Nuggets | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Nuggets | 55c | 501.49$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.82 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Nuggets | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 48c | 358.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Lakers | 47c | 311.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 304.85$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Nuggets | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Lakers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Nuggets | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Lakers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 48c | 192$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Nuggets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Lakers | 47c | 174.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…0436backed Nuggets | 54c | 160.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Nuggets | 54c | 154$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Lakers | 45c | 151.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Lakers | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Nuggets | 36c | 112.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Lakers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Lakers | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Nuggets | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Nuggets | 52c | 99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…1f0cbacked Nuggets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb9…afbbbacked Nuggets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…436fbacked Nuggets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…d581backed Lakers | 48c | 83.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Nuggets | 79c | 81.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Nuggets | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Nuggets | 25c | 80.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 67.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Lakers | 49c | 62.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Nuggets | 53c | 56.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Nuggets | 54c | 55.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Nuggets | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Lakers | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Nuggets | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Lakers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Lakers | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lakers | 46c | 40.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Nuggets | 52c | 39.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Nuggets | 54c | 36.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Nuggets | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Lakers | 48c | 35.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Nuggets | 52c | 32.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Lakers | 49c | 28.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Lakers | 47c | 28.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Lakers | 47c | 27.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2d…42ffbacked Nuggets | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Lakers | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Nuggets | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Lakers | 48c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Lakers | 47c | 23.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Nuggets | 55c | 22.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5284backed Nuggets | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nuggets | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Nuggets | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157f…cfe6backed Nuggets | 71c | 16.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…bc8cbacked Lakers | 78c | 13.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)this page
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Lakers vs. NuggetsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.