NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf16de53891ce4b635d1f4ec17d55d2e814908d72b00591ede164e2f67da05228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Under | 55c | 56,637$31,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,632.68 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 48,765$23,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,292.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 21,491$9,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,627.93 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 20,066$9,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,905.69 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.98 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 11,212$4,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.08 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 52c | 9,440$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,545.42 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 45c | 8,943$4,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,025.47 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…6221backed Over | 49c | 6,299$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 3c | 4,630$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 4,495$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 51c | 4,292$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.16 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 4,269$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 3,525$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 3c | 3,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 3,074$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 49c | 2,760$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 2,544$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 77c | 2,498$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.21 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 49c | 2,045$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.26 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.97 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 1,861$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.63 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 4c | 1,704$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Over | 49c | 1,551$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 1,477$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.59 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…88b2backed Over | 49c | 1,469$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 42c | 1,369$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.75 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 53c | 1,312$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.64 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 45c | 1,174$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 1,104$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.21 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 1,089$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.05 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 48c | 1,052$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.38 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 51c | 981.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 54c | 931.94$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.69 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 49c | 865.06$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.88 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Over | 47c | 849.36$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.2 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 29c | 762.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.71 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 52c | 741.6$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.6 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 658.01$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Over | 49c | 653.43$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.3 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 619.33$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.46 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 48c | 440$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…e73ebacked Over | 48c | 399.82$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 33c | 382.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 49c | 375$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 45c | 350$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Over | 50c | 301.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…68a2backed Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Under | 50c | 283$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 282.59$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…ef6abacked Over | 71c | 245.7$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 54c | 235.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Under | 53c | 226.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 47c | 204.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 19c | 196$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 195.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 168.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 52c | 164.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 40c | 148.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 28c | 148.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Over | 47c | 147.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 59c | 133.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 51c | 126$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 40c | 115.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 56c | 108.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 107.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 105.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 50c | 100.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 48c | 99.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 53c | 93.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Under | 53c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 54c | 89.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Under | 53c | 87.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Over | 75c | 74.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Over | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Over | 42c | 66.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed84…45a1backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Under | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 52c | 62.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…ffdfbacked Over | 48c | 60.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 52c | 57.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 75c | 53.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 53c | 52.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5this page
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Lakers vs. NuggetsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.