NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbadb35f82e0e43c0a40a1db7f401014fd3b39a503b04ba8c9aaee0c0bfbb1f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Under | 52c | 29,783$15,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,153.11 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 21,457$10,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,444.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 15,665$7,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,487.63 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 52c | 15,371$7,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,378.27 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 4,991$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 3,906$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.63 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Over | 49c | 2,490$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 52c | 2,112$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.54 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 49c | 2,068$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.53 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 2,061$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.89 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 1,863$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.91 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 51c | 1,647$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.03 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 1,310$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.03 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 1,119$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 1,043$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.21 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 48c | 1,040$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 53c | 953.73$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.48 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 50c | 701.14$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.57 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 51c | 634.14$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.73 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 594.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 558$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.26 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…68a2backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Over | 52c | 418.03$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.78 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 394$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Under | 53c | 365.49$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 53c | 222.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 193$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 53c | 152.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 68c | 144.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Under | 53c | 142.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 20c | 133.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 9c | 112.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Under | 53c | 102.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…8a1dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 53c | 85.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 52c | 70.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Under | 53c | 68.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 64.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…5bd7backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 53c | 59.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under | 53c | 55.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Under | 53c | 54.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 47c | 50.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 53c | 49.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 53c | 48.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 46.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 41.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 25c | 40.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 51c | 34.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 31.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 22.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 53c | 22.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Over | 48c | 21.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5this page
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Lakers vs. NuggetsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.