NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x800f5cf8f5da43d4bc75c7cd15ce78bdadb400a5a75c0335e22c138f663f9e01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 22,820$10,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,725.52 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 53c | 18,649$9,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800.4 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 49c | 7,680$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Lakers | 52c | 5,808$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Lakers | 50c | 5,578$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.17 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,542$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lakers | 51c | 2,751$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.15 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,621$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.69 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,110$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Lakers | 50c | 2,110$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.77 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,606$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lakers | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,245$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.79 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,071$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.37 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,015$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.58 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Nuggets | 49c | 980.63$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.51 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…565dbacked Lakers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Nuggets | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 739.39$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.3 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lakers | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.57 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Nuggets | 47c | 599.97$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 515.78$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.42 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Nuggets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d77…d08bbacked Lakers | 53c | 407.28$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 392.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lakers | 51c | 391$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.59 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 49c | 304.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Nuggets | 48c | 296.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Lakers | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 51c | 289.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lakers | 51c | 288.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 62c | 283.55$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 43c | 282.48$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…6413backed Nuggets | 50c | 276$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…18dabacked Nuggets | 50c | 213.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…282dbacked Lakers | 50c | 209.74$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…881ebacked Lakers | 50c | 209.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e3…8f88backed Lakers | 50c | 208.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…bbacbacked Nuggets | 50c | 208.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…ca38backed Nuggets | 50c | 207.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…b89ebacked Lakers | 50c | 206.73$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…d9c0backed Lakers | 50c | 205.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…8ae3backed Nuggets | 50c | 203.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…570cbacked Lakers | 50c | 203.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0631…0ec9backed Nuggets | 50c | 203.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…d842backed Nuggets | 50c | 203.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Lakers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…b227backed Lakers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Lakers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Lakers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 48c | 141.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 140.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bf…fa9abacked Nuggets | 49c | 130.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Lakers | 28c | 130$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5251…d260backed Lakers | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Nuggets | 50c | 119.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Lakers | 57c | 117.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lakers | 51c | 108.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Lakers | 50c | 103.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Nuggets | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Lakers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Lakers | 52c | 97.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Lakers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Lakers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Lakers | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Lakers | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…6d18backed Lakers | 51c | 83.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Lakers | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Lakers | 51c | 78.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 41c | 73.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 46c | 73.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 54c | 66.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Nuggets | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Nuggets | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…3dfcbacked Nuggets | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…b82abacked Lakers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Nuggets | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Nuggets | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nuggets | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lakers | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Lakers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Lakers | 52c | 38.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Lakers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lakers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)this page
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Lakers vs. NuggetsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.