Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25870b54d0819f18cc5a1b24b28242576cc30ba7b55aa1b6fbe85fd6bcc42d0c

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $886,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $472,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $886,309 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	64,930$1,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,637.47	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	0c	27,000$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	138	9.4%13 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	2c	26,100$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.27	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	10c	19,207$1,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,848.3	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	16,950$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df6…556fbacked Yes	1c	14,806$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.03	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	7c	13,378$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.17	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	12,729$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	7c	11,175$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	3c	11,073$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.07	105	14.3%15 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	5c	8,911$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.57	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	5c	8,626$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.15	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	7,884$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.24	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	7,713$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.44	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	7,100$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.96	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	11c	7,042$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.86	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	6,941$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	6c	6,002$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.06	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	9c	5,634$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.02	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…e619backed Yes	5c	5,427$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.95	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	0c	5,012$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes	3c	4,623$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.67	78	11.5%9 W · 69 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	4,433$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.07	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	1c	4,347$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.34	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	2c	4,041$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.33	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	9c	4,011$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.19	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce8…b49bbacked Yes	4c	4,010$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.69	71	15.5%11 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c96…1959backed Yes	8c	4,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	3,865$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.59	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	1c	3,855$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Yes	6c	3,838$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.18	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,729$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.32	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	7c	3,645$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.08	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	0c	3,524$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	3,418$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.01	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc4…4d51backed Yes	1c	3,265$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.77	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…39dbbacked Yes	1c	3,100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	46	6.5%3 W · 43 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes	3c	3,043$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.8	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	3,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	14c	3,000$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.02	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5464…9d3ebacked Yes	13c	2,867$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	8c	2,866$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.29	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	2,780$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.16	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	4c	2,739$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.11	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	2,566$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	4c	2,545$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.18	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05aa…e3c3backed Yes	1c	2,421$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+201.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	5c	2,351$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.03	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	6c	2,095$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.72	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	4c	2,067$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.78	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	4c	2,066$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.92	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	2,023$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.09	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	4c	2,010$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.32	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc426…2700backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	67	6%4 W · 63 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	10c	2,000$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.05	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	2,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	4c	2,000$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.11	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	15c	1,968$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	10c	1,954$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.4	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	4c	1,951$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.84	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	1,929$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.65	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x828d…c9a5backed Yes	12c	1,875$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.59	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	3c	1,866$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f2…60fabacked Yes	5c	1,667$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.01	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-41%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bb…9107backed Yes	6c	1,649$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.28	110	14.5%16 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	1,612$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.58	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	5c	1,557$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.36	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd0…0073backed Yes	7c	1,500$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.75	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	1c	1,500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa789…fb63backed Yes	5c	1,434$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.32	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	3c	1,339$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.76	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c0e…fb07backed Yes	1c	1,318$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b14…2a35backed Yes	14c	1,300$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.92	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8187…ff6abacked Yes	5c	1,282$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.22	133	14.3%19 W · 114 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01f4…443cbacked Yes	10c	1,200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.3	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	4c	1,182$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	3c	1,178$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	1,176$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5c…ef81backed Yes	9c	1,146$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.45	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb29…ea70backed Yes	9c	1,141$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc73…d73abacked Yes	12c	1,107$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.79	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02b4…7092backed Yes	5c	1,100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.64	83	8.4%7 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce72…01f2backed Yes	8c	1,009$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.58	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	4c	1,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	4c	1,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	5c	1,000$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	4c	952.07$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.05	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	15c	941.56$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.67	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a8…6abdbacked Yes	4c	914.52$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.46	121	36.4%44 W · 77 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Yes	7c	912.62$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-66%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e4…91e9backed Yes	3c	872.19$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.38	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b5…11a3backed Yes	5c	871.08$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.9	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	11c	854.77$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.25	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc1…bad8backed Yes	12c	844.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+100.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes	12c	828.76$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	85	27.1%23 W · 62 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5190…6c17backed Yes	14c	824.77$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.47	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	782.32$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.94	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event