Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf597cf372ff196903a616f1b8e0cbc9ad33d66b2bdc1da9469dbfc74613303cc

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 26, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $931,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $553,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $931,196 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	34,825$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.79	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b4…055ebacked Yes	1c	33,732$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.11	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	6c	26,479$1,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,581.18	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	10c	22,370$2,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,243	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	21,365$1,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,189.37	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	16,193$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.2	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	10,223$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.51	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	5c	9,333$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.41	105	14.3%15 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	0c	8,026$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.96	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	8,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	7,266$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.73	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5052…2669backed Yes	3c	7,156$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	2c	7,061$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.59	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	6,215$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.27	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	7c	6,108$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46c8…5894backed Yes	9c	5,955$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	36cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62b…5bbfbacked Yes	0c	5,907$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	5,816$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.2	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	0c	5,680$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.88	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	10c	5,245$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…e619backed Yes	1c	5,185$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.48	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	1c	5,117$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.65	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	4c	4,639$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.99	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe855…04cdbacked Yes	2c	4,485$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	4,386$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.82	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	10c	4,349$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.01	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	13c	3,820$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	4c	3,767$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.22	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b98…7f1dbacked Yes	0c	3,710$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5c…ef81backed Yes	9c	3,169$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.37	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	3,071$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.88	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x901a…dc86backed Yes	5c	3,016$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.81	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	12c	3,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.99	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	2,999$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.34	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	9c	2,980$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.4	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	4c	2,885$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf640…bc3ebacked Yes	6c	2,693$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.86	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f2…60fabacked Yes	3c	2,650$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.74	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-41%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	2,613$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.87	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	4c	2,549$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	10c	2,524$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.01	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a0…9884backed Yes	8c	2,500$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.85	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	6c	2,486$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.42	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	4c	2,384$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.1	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee76…8fcebacked Yes	7c	2,257$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc514…39dbbacked Yes	0c	2,213$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	46	6.5%3 W · 43 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	2,153$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.13	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcc…2e56backed Yes	13c	2,001$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	2c	2,000$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	3c	2,000$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.4	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…00f7backed Yes	5c	1,940$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.06	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+57%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	8c	1,939$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ce…ed9abacked Yes	1c	1,823$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	5cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9837…16aabacked Yes	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	9c	1,759$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.94	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	4c	1,744$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.53	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	8c	1,742$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3b…4af5backed Yes	12c	1,690$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce72…01f2backed Yes	13c	1,636$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.27	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce8…b49bbacked Yes	5c	1,553$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.97	71	15.5%11 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	3c	1,515$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.09	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	1,500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	13c	1,463$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.47	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22c3…b145backed Yes	3c	1,448$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.58	64	14.1%9 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4243…47a8backed Yes	9c	1,377$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.26	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	2c	1,290$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacb0…0f48backed Yes	4c	1,280$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	1,260$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.01	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	4c	1,212$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd3…f0efbacked Yes	8c	1,200$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.25	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33cc…1dc5backed Yes	1c	1,190$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.67	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Yes	6c	1,177$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	5c	1,177$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.18	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf0…f098backed Yes	5c	1,113$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.61	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	7c	1,107$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9384…8a95backed Yes	2c	1,100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	9c	1,087$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…42debacked Yes	10c	1,052$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	3c	1,052$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.49	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	10c	1,050$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	6c	1,043$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	1,024$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.59	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	6c	1,016$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.14	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4806…d870backed Yes	1c	1,003$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	3c	1,003$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.02	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d48…6573backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	3c	999.98$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes	8c	999$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.93	124	12.1%15 W · 109 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	12c	939$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.55	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b9…19d0backed Yes	3c	937.16$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.09	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c0…e64fbacked Yes	2c	935.53$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.69	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	11c	913.88$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.06	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e4…91e9backed Yes	4c	911.6$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.88	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…88eabacked Yes	6c	905.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	204	13.2%27 W · 177 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	8c	902.95$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.07	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	7c	901.93$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.1	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event