Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfccc88efab064a1d0f7f106d410bdcbcd3bd39598d1a123acea420a790c5b94

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,247,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $700,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,247,214 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	61,862$3,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,789.56	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes	0c	55,555$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	29,991$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	3c	25,185$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.34	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	6c	24,101$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,504.62	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	14c	22,290$3,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,037.92	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	2c	18,475$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.35	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	3c	15,005$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.46	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	12c	13,746$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	13,500$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.5	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	9c	13,378$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.48	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	12,031$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	14c	11,995$1,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,719.12	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	17c	10,031$1,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,681.82	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	9c	10,008$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$923.26	105	14.3%15 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	7c	9,629$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.31	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	10c	8,087$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	2c	8,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.5	138	9.4%13 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df6…556fbacked Yes	2c	7,742$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.62	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	2c	7,505$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.23	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8556…fad9backed Yes	1c	7,437$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	17c	7,100$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.83	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	6c	6,727$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.4	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes	19c	6,676$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.8	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	6,101$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.4	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12c6…f2cdbacked Yes	15c	5,651$845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$845.3	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes	4c	5,482$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.3	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	11c	5,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.99	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	14c	4,902$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.47	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	12c	4,783$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.72	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	8c	4,742$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.92	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	10c	4,697$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.09	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	13c	4,490$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.87	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	2c	4,358$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.3	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Yes	18c	4,175$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.65	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-66%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Yes	9c	4,089$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.25	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	8c	4,050$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.1	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	7c	4,041$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.69	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c96…1959backed Yes	17c	4,003$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.7	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	4c	4,000$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbcc…2e56backed Yes	13c	3,967$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	6c	3,866$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.52	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	15c	3,806$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.25	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Yes	11c	3,780$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.52	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	16c	3,750$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.38	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	3,502$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.93	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	3c	3,467$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.46	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	10c	3,153$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f23…90dbbacked Yes	6c	3,110$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.59	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	3c	3,048$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.13	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	20c	3,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	9c	2,985$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.92	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5c…ef81backed Yes	11c	2,969$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.82	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	9c	2,880$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.69	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	3c	2,879$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5aa…c200backed Yes	3c	2,832$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.67	158	20.9%33 W · 125 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x774d…5cdabacked Yes	8c	2,800$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.73	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	15c	2,776$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.22	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e6…b538backed Yes	10c	2,773$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.78	90	22.2%20 W · 70 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	15c	2,747$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.18	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	15c	2,690$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.2	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	6c	2,690$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.8	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	11c	2,664$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.1	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc491…8012backed Yes	0c	2,648$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	23c	2,611$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.12	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	2,596$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.99	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	12c	2,566$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.63	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	15c	2,485$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.56	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	10c	2,483$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.67	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	1c	2,320$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.02	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01f4…443cbacked Yes	19c	2,300$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.46	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	13c	2,300$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.5	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	2,283$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	15c	2,276$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.32	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	17c	2,207$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.37	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02b4…7092backed Yes	10c	2,163$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.96	83	8.4%7 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	14c	2,100$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	1c	2,099$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.89	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	2c	2,042$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.42	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	8c	2,007$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.33	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	15c	2,001$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.95	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	20c	2,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	2c	2,000$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	20c	1,962$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	10c	1,958$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.34	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44b5…11a3backed Yes	8c	1,924$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.61	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	2c	1,905$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.1	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	23c	1,903$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.66	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb0f…71fbbacked Yes	21c	1,902$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.7	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…948bbacked Yes	2c	1,898$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	11c	1,869$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa316…780cbacked Yes	2c	1,820$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.68	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	1,806$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.82	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	10c	1,790$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.95	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	4c	1,784$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.26	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	11c	1,775$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	2c	1,772$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.7	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	1,710$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.9	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event