Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd124fef9ee828092d332785c1c766df0933ef7bf9cc8ac9580d96b7e80b968df

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $890,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $453,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $890,340 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	0c	99,970$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.32	138	9.4%13 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	44,290$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.55	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	38,978$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.05	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	3c	34,059$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,135.29	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	27,306$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.37	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	22,304$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.13	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee4…9d92backed Yes	0c	18,000$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	0c	17,999$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	13,901$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	129	0.8%1 W · 128 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	6c	13,374$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.16	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	9,274$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	9,090$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.7	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	7c	8,460$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	7,789$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.1	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	7,778$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.68	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	7,754$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.3	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	7,614$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.7	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	0c	6,505$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.75	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes	1c	6,246$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	78	11.5%9 W · 69 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	6c	5,503$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.15	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	5,391$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.79	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	0c	5,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	5,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	3c	4,823$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.3	105	14.3%15 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes	1c	4,669$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.34	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	4,041$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.89	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,995$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.72	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0e…fb07backed Yes	1c	3,817$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.39	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f2…60fabacked Yes	4c	3,740$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.27	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-41%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	3,516$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce8…b49bbacked Yes	1c	3,273$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.31	71	15.5%11 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	13c	3,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	8c	2,929$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.98	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	1c	2,600$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.7	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	5c	2,456$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.43	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…e619backed Yes	2c	2,388$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.99	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	2c	2,197$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.37	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	2,107$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	3c	2,053$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.21	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	2,000$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc426…2700backed Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	67	6%4 W · 63 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	1,886$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	1,750$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	1,740$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.18	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x828d…c9a5backed Yes	11c	1,581$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.64	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	2c	1,579$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.84	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	7c	1,532$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.17	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	3c	1,526$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.28	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd0…0073backed Yes	4c	1,500$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5357…a8f8backed Yes	1c	1,418$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	144	13.2%19 W · 125 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	1,400$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	1,307$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.39	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	3c	1,300$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.55	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd0…dbb7backed Yes	1c	1,275$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b9…19d0backed Yes	1c	1,264$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.85	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	8c	1,217$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.92	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	7c	1,200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c3…b145backed Yes	2c	1,200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	64	14.1%9 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	9c	1,193$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.09	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	4c	1,150$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.9	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	1,080$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.77	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,001$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.31	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5b14…2a35backed Yes	14c	1,000$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.68	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	1c	1,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	7c	995$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.65	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56e4…91e9backed Yes	1c	949.13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	3c	913.03$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	4c	804.56$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.68	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	2c	759.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes	7c	757$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.99	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	2c	720.05$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	3c	685.65$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.96	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4168…4062backed Yes	2c	654.76$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5c…ef81backed Yes	5c	643.11$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.14	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	8c	609.92$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.79	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes	9c	600$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c6…ed71backed Yes	12c	600$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	524.21$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e10…c6cdbacked Yes	9c	503.21$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.37	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4806…d870backed Yes	2c	501.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	360	18.6%67 W · 293 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bc…96c0backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	104	4.8%5 W · 99 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	6c	500$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27db…288dbacked Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d25…aa79backed Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff4…7e9abacked Yes	11c	459.12$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.44	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…11dfbacked Yes	3c	453.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+3.7wins	+0.19per pick	16cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa284…fbbabacked Yes	2c	423.73$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x913f…916dbacked Yes	10c	422.69$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.7	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf904…26e5backed Yes	3c	417.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d09…71ffbacked Yes	3c	417.51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	6c	400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef10…1d95backed Yes	7c	399.98$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	6c	391.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…88eabacked Yes	7c	357.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	204	13.2%27 W · 177 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x117f…4a20backed Yes	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+70.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event