Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c65268d62785ca4d4d76da6f17a1386e228eb8997de3a69471258a5457da13

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,191,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,141,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,191,122 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 986 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	49c	27,677$13,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,228.07	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes	67c	22,208$14,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,333.77	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	26c	21,884$5,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,233.1	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	69c	21,768$14,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,815.36	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	36c	14,386$5,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,179.89	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	52c	13,614$7,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,532.72	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	31c	10,755$3,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,373.44	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	28c	10,520$2,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,598.19	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffd8…1a4dbacked No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	77c	9,795$7,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,228.55	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	22c	9,486$2,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,387.42	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	40c	9,104$3,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,450.74	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28a0…9884backed Yes	66c	9,035$5,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,105.44	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	23c	8,994$2,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,935.63	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	42c	8,509$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,909.34	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	23c	7,903$1,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,077.89	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	34c	7,605$2,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,054.86	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	36c	7,234$2,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,585.74	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	17c	6,968$1,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,802.19	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	56c	6,958$3,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,054.14	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	18c	6,574$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,373.62	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…69d8backed No	20c	6,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.98	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed No	1c	6,399$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.94	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	38c	6,192$2,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,815.83	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	29c	5,788$1,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,123.48	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8aa…a2ccbacked Yes	33c	5,704$1,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,824.29	75	36%27 W · 48 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	51c	5,475$2,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,700.19	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5c…ef81backed Yes	26c	4,861$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,611.14	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	23c	4,762$1,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,659.84	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…d100backed Yes	63c	4,392$2,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,644.79	28	50%14 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	25c	4,358$1,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,250.54	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	72c	4,325$3,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,093.77	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	66c	4,214$2,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,419.07	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed No	39c	4,049$1,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,588.91	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	54c	4,041$2,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,841.51	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…e1ebbacked Yes	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,999.99	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	57c	3,739$2,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,593.38	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	13c	3,717$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,218.54	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	31c	3,607$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,490.42	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	27c	3,574$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,614.03	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f1…6ca0backed No	25c	3,550$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x774d…5cdabacked Yes	76c	3,470$2,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$826.91	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	43c	3,454$1,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,952.75	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes	54c	3,436$1,863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,573.22	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	24c	3,305$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,524.91	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked No	56c	3,251$1,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,820.73	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	34c	3,220$1,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,132	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	19c	3,199$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,587.1	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked Yes	63c	3,147$1,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.26	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	68c	3,057$2,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,066.62	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	62c	3,007$1,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.98	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x794e…5358backed Yes	69c	3,000$2,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.22	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2789…ed4fbacked Yes	43c	2,987$1,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,693.26	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	36c	2,906$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,057.76	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Yes	13c	2,851$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,480.69	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…f2cdbacked Yes	15c	2,695$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,285.08	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcc…2e56backed Yes	40c	2,682$1,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,614.34	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	32c	2,566$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,749.4	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1215backed Yes	20c	2,548$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,026.12	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	19c	2,541$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,064.02	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	35c	2,508$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,638.32	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dab…38fabacked Yes	59c	2,468$1,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.17	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	45c	2,418$1,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333.86	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	15c	2,200$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,860	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	43c	2,181$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,233.04	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes	33c	2,165$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,448.26	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	24c	2,152$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,644.13	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	31c	2,122$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,460.06	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	16c	2,093$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,751.86	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	21c	2,093$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,661.54	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	26c	2,073$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,539.6	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c2…db9bbacked Yes	74c	2,050$1,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.5	15	60%9 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9837…16aabacked Yes	14c	2,020$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,745.55	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	18c	2,000$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,645.65	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf70f…1b9abacked No	49c	2,000$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.99	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes	42c	1,945$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130.27	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	69c	1,934$1,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,341.97	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8dc…adbabacked Yes	24c	1,932$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470.52	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.76per pick	24cpaid	+318.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	38c	1,913$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,194.66	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	27c	1,884$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,384.37	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ce…3c79backed Yes	63c	1,881$1,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$687.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes	39c	1,877$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,137.28	104	22.1%23 W · 81 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	11c	1,825$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625.65	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	44c	1,756$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$987.71	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6282…c9f0backed Yes	52c	1,747$905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.38	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	76c	1,739$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.52	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	17c	1,719$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,418.61	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	28c	1,694$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,217.46	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	34c	1,694$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,112.75	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	41c	1,676$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980.72	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf657…d8cebacked Yes	30c	1,665$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,165.5	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Yes	30c	1,649$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.97	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	60c	1,649$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.09	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdf4…59b4backed No	57c	1,611$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922.08	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes	51c	1,577$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$771.36	210	34.8%73 W · 137 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Yes	36c	1,570$557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012.58	107	27.1%29 W · 78 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes	24c	1,557$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,182.09	85	27.1%23 W · 62 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	34c	1,554$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.24	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	11c	1,530$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,357.23	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a52…94cabacked No	46c	1,524$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.86	80	50%40 W · 40 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event