Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07bb25076dbf7d611e95b2ac6adb7c2dd1a63d04b950168b9d5a9761b46e923c

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,125,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $832,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,125,088 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 986 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	32c	26,335$8,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,548.9	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	34c	21,904$7,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,419.51	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	4c	18,084$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.76	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	24c	17,403$4,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,251.83	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e2a…534ebacked Yes	29c	17,035$4,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,870.05	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	33c	14,918$4,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,917.42	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	67c	14,664$9,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,831.66	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	30c	14,173$4,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,310.97	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	11c	13,377$1,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,448.43	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	24c	12,749$3,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,070.65	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	27c	11,339$3,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,080.03	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked No	72c	10,427$7,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,897.44	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	30c	9,544$2,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,891.65	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	27c	9,220$2,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,518.39	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	19c	8,780$1,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,670	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	22c	8,579$1,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,928.61	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	42c	8,460$3,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,526.41	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	23c	8,200$1,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,912.52	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	18c	8,160$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,490.32	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	4c	7,900$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…e1ebbacked Yes	12c	7,799$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.3	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9edf…0f44backed Yes	1c	7,706$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.44	65	9.2%6 W · 59 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	17c	7,652$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,289.91	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed No	76c	7,537$5,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,818.42	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	44c	7,500$3,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,290.73	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	33c	7,352$2,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,429.41	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	19c	7,102$1,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,338.3	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	19c	6,910$1,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319.2	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	71c	6,857$4,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000.99	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c96…1959backed Yes	23c	6,627$1,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,537.33	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed No	67c	6,509$4,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,145.96	181	63%114 W · 67 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	11c	5,996$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.28	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	12c	5,861$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.57	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed No	76c	5,580$4,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,327.23	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	16c	5,325$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.25	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3d…8d58backed Yes	35c	5,256$1,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,836.39	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	28c	5,228$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,439.7	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	22c	5,013$1,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.44	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	5,000$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.7	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	64c	4,855$3,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,744.24	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	4,845$3,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,322.74	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	5c	4,600$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.46	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	19c	4,467$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.62	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	29c	4,214$1,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,238.84	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	27c	4,200$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.11	105	14.3%15 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	35c	4,197$1,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,459.9	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	10c	4,112$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.19	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x774d…5cdabacked Yes	25c	4,050$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.46	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	28c	4,041$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113.29	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	32c	4,034$1,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,288.92	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	25c	4,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	16c	3,893$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.58	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbcc…2e56backed Yes	43c	3,827$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632.23	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	78c	3,715$2,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828.98	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked No	53c	3,664$1,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,722.13	181	23.8%43 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked No	70c	3,612$2,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.24	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	2c	3,516$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.81	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	17c	3,474$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.61	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	19c	3,474$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.21	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8556…fad9backed Yes	19c	3,452$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.75	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	2c	3,420$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.22	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	1c	3,387$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.71	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6ec6…20d4backed Yes	30c	3,346$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.93	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde03…e629backed No	77c	3,346$2,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.07	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	13c	3,329$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.75	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	17c	3,200$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.6	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	15c	3,001$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.14	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x794e…5358backed Yes	27c	3,000$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.65	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8aa…a2ccbacked Yes	31c	2,976$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.5	75	36%27 W · 48 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	27c	2,939$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.31	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2789…ed4fbacked Yes	43c	2,882$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.44	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	27c	2,832$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Yes	24c	2,782$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.38	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb0f…71fbbacked Yes	34c	2,661$916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915.59	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed No	74c	2,600$1,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.87	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	31c	2,600$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.55	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	30c	2,566$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.97	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	4c	2,563$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.76	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	22c	2,421$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.64	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	20c	2,400$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.77	138	9.4%13 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40de…0e3abacked Yes	1c	2,263$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.25	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+76.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	28c	2,233$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.95	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1ef5…4969backed No	80c	2,226$1,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.27	12	91.7%11 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	71cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	69c	2,225$1,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.38	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ce…3c79backed Yes	29c	2,163$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.42	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	30c	2,129$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.59	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes	29c	2,089$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.63	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1448…b30bbacked Yes	23c	2,048$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.53	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	19c	2,000$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.72	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	26c	2,000$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	3c	2,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.1	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	14c	2,000$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	70c	2,000$1,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	27c	1,930$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.33	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01f4…443cbacked Yes	24c	1,815$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.54	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5190…6c17backed Yes	25c	1,794$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.04	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f02…5f35backed No	77c	1,742$1,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.65	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes	24c	1,713$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.93	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes	38c	1,711$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event