NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43adb6dfe0a6444dc904af9c37d8945e73498fec070778d2ff8f1b3dfa05f7bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $808,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $814,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $808,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lightning | 72c | 34,204$24,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,458.68 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Lightning | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 55c | 29,604$16,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,313.38 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Blackhawks | 29c | 26,980$7,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,824.2 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Blackhawks | 27c | 25,672$6,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900.53 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Lightning | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.97 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Blackhawks | 45c | 12,150$5,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.64 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…e56fbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 11,467$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lightning | 72c | 10,768$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Lightning | 70c | 9,877$6,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.1 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 8,741$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Blackhawks | 28c | 8,571$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lightning | 70c | 8,406$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.73 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Blackhawks | 27c | 8,294$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.48 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Blackhawks | 45c | 7,955$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.73 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 74c | 7,000$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 71c | 6,698$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.28 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Blackhawks | 46c | 5,930$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…5f9ebacked Lightning | 73c | 5,782$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aea…cfe3backed Lightning | 73c | 5,685$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Blackhawks | 29c | 5,350$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.5 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Blackhawks | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blackhawks | 27c | 4,600$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Blackhawks | 44c | 4,539$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.28 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Blackhawks | 27c | 4,498$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.21 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 54c | 4,420$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.19 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Blackhawks | 45c | 4,408$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.39 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blackhawks | 27c | 4,400$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Blackhawks | 45c | 4,277$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.45 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks | 46c | 3,901$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.31 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Blackhawks | 41c | 3,856$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.58 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Lightning | 58c | 3,423$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.14 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Lightning | 73c | 3,418$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Blackhawks | 26c | 3,333$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.58 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lightning | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…f8f4backed Blackhawks | 30c | 2,790$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 42c | 2,760$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…c095backed Blackhawks | 30c | 2,753$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…0fe6backed Blackhawks | 45c | 2,732$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks | 27c | 2,300$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.88 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Blackhawks | 30c | 2,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Blackhawks | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Lightning | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Blackhawks | 45c | 1,840$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.08 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Blackhawks | 27c | 1,824$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.59 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blackhawks | 27c | 1,686$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.48 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,638$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.36 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blackhawks | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc5…0a58backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,499$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03da…abf9backed Lightning | 70c | 1,499$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…31fdbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 1,498$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcde…60e7backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,498$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…9212backed Lightning | 70c | 1,498$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd223…3a53backed Lightning | 70c | 1,498$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…8ca2backed Lightning | 70c | 1,498$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…e99dbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 1,498$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…6e72backed Lightning | 70c | 1,495$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…7641backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,495$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6d09backed Lightning | 70c | 1,494$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…1b17backed Lightning | 70c | 1,494$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…c487backed Lightning | 70c | 1,494$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…f006backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,494$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd89…9afcbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 1,494$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…0071backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,494$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…7d31backed Lightning | 70c | 1,493$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a02…3129backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,493$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…001dbacked Lightning | 70c | 1,492$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…25afbacked Lightning | 70c | 1,492$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe072…beb5backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,492$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…549ebacked Blackhawks | 30c | 1,492$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…c0a7backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,492$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164a…a663backed Lightning | 70c | 1,492$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64cd…88d7backed Lightning | 70c | 1,492$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2556…79d0backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,492$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…e04ebacked Blackhawks | 30c | 1,491$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…f1f1backed Lightning | 70c | 1,491$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7059backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,490$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d2…50c2backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,490$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad56…0619backed Lightning | 70c | 1,490$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f72…4b60backed Lightning | 70c | 1,490$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…2431backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,490$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…4b03backed Lightning | 70c | 1,490$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…52c9backed Lightning | 70c | 1,490$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf43…16f1backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,490$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…2bc9backed Lightning | 70c | 1,490$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…9132backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,490$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…3feabacked Blackhawks | 30c | 1,490$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa992…e1d6backed Lightning | 70c | 1,490$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…cf96backed Lightning | 70c | 1,489$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe5…ec6abacked Blackhawks | 30c | 1,489$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…56bfbacked Lightning | 70c | 1,488$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…4dedbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 1,488$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…f348backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,487$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cb…f164backed Lightning | 70c | 1,487$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed4…3123backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,487$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8acb…40b2backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,487$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…d6f9backed Lightning | 70c | 1,487$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Blackhawksthis page
- Lightning vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.