NHL · resolved market
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c45149c53c31465902ca4e9ea72a85180ef32bdec791f036c4c6abfd1eb7358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Lightning, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Blackhawks | 48c | 4,252$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.24 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 52c | 3,928$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.14 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.49 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lightning | 52c | 3,122$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.45 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Lightning | 57c | 3,122$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.98 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 2,289$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.63 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blackhawks | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Blackhawks | 48c | 2,072$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.77 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Blackhawks | 48c | 2,063$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…e79dbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a0…fa88backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…bb5fbacked Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bc…6112backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…aa1dbacked Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…85c4backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe537…3c1bbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc885…7d72backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633c…034fbacked Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…497bbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…ae23backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…1ff4backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…09e1backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…b558backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…932cbacked Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…79dcbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…d784backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…1893backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…b124backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8f…1352backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4f…a230backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7296…4d0cbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2732…30fbbacked Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b4…a626backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…4761backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…499ebacked Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc207…e84ebacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…de4cbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…b1cfbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…0c0bbacked Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…26fdbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…e363backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…2621backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…e7c1backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a79…b692backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…de2cbacked Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…3f75backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…aca4backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…a32bbacked Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…7d79backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7000…c1b9backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…2b3cbacked Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcedc…8de6backed Lightning | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…0202backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…616ebacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…d3ecbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…088ebacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0df0backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…5f02backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…7f31backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…3d5ebacked Lightning | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 50c | 1,060$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.6 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Lightning | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.32 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59d…77f5backed Lightning | 48c | 990$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Blackhawks | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blackhawks | 48c | 691.97$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.82 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 48c | 541.26$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.81 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Lightning | 46c | 420.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44cf…d208backed Blackhawks | 52c | 420$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…f505backed Blackhawks | 52c | 410$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Blackhawks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lightning | 50c | 382.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Lightning | 51c | 382.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.05 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Blackhawks | 49c | 364.55$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.92 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Blackhawks | 52c | 363.67$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fd…26babacked Blackhawks | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…9296backed Blackhawks | 52c | 335$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…0ad1backed Blackhawks | 52c | 330$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Blackhawks | 45c | 321.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Lightning | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blackhawks | 47c | 292.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Blackhawks | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks | 50c | 260.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Lightning | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…a1f6backed Blackhawks | 52c | 245$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Blackhawks | 47c | 218.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lightning | 31c | 207$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blackhawks | 50c | 204.03$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Blackhawks | 43c | 200.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Blackhawks | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 66c | 195.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b6c9backed Blackhawks | 49c | 165.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Blackhawks | 52c | 155.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Blackhawks | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blackhawks | 53c | 116$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Blackhawks | 65c | 116$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lightning | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Lightning | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 106.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Lightning | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Lightning | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)this page
- Lightning vs. BlackhawksLightning won
- Lightning vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.