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Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over42c11,916$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c6,455$4,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.926,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x069c…c844backed Over44c4,214$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.041526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under64c3,861$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.1416753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c3,655$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.511,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under59c3,050$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.4911349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over31c2,999$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.8311024.5%27 W · 83 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05072249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under64c2,084$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.361,42444.3%631 W · 793 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under64c2,059$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.652,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under57c2,000$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.9852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Over42c1,962$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under58c1,854$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77041353.8%222 W · 191 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c1,561$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.642,60647.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…d15ebacked Over44c1,266$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over41c1,246$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over44c1,008$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.627544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under59c999.96$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9826750.9%136 W · 131 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd4…6dc6backed Over43c960$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3964445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Under58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0711443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over31c820.01$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2810529.5%31 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3281,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under57c799.98$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.9936956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over28c797$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Over37c735$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.762536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over42c719.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002548%12 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over43c629.01$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.781,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over28c574$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7245751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17526948.7%131 W · 138 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21511448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under58c465.52$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5210443.3%45 W · 59 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa44e…d155backed Under50c465.27$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under57c450$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.565757.7%379 W · 278 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over42c409.52$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1724961.2%30 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over25c407.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9931747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over50c400.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over42c385.71$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under60c383.33$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.338655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over42c379.58$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.778050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe29…4383backed Under57c370$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Over22c360$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.23125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over38c349.32$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.749550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under60c316.67$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6712649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over36c313.89$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1137245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ad…4f61backed Under57c310$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under57c297.3$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8435056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over35c284.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7523926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7e…cb2bbacked Under57c280$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over42c273.48$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.864862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over41c268.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.274656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under57c250$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009134.1%31 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under57c199.97$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9929443.5%128 W · 166 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Under74c183.26$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.192642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over42c182$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5419853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x794d…8385backed Over41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under57c170$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.132656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c167.43$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.541,94342.5%826 W · 1,117 L-41.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over43c152.61$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Over39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Under60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Under66c149.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.510654.7%58 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Under58c148.19$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.244955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over37c143.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5320644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under56c140$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.62454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under58c138.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.398161.7%50 W · 31 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c128$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.274,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed Over41c120.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505050%25 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under74c109.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.64143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over26c106.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2589252.9%472 W · 420 L-3.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under57c104.34$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8727748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Under58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.452937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Over39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4f…0019backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Over19c101.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over35c101.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3518444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over40c100.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.410124.8%25 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9a6d…b3febacked Over19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+189.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4422348.4%108 W · 115 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4310354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042740.3%172 W · 255 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over30c95.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.664829.2%14 W · 34 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under64c94.4$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.77450%37 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over43c92.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.982552%13 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under58c87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.544942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.338944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over35c81.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6323435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4420…23c9backed Under75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.