Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfce469dfd1a7b7a83709d6d0c226a46da81796913a11c5adea09ea121c55d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 7,977$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 79c | 4,372$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.03 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 1,237$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 5c | 1,234$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Over | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 74c | 914$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.64 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 21c | 813.81$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Under | 79c | 506.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 77c | 372.77$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 22c | 272.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 19c | 219$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…413dbacked Under | 79c | 197.08$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 9c | 173.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 22c | 137.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6b…010cbacked Over | 9c | 134.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…0019backed Over | 9c | 134.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 23c | 108.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 23c | 107.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 22c | 107.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Over | 22c | 87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bf…df87backed Over | 22c | 63.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 74c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 77c | 51.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 26c | 45.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Under | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Under | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Under | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ee…713dbacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…7ce9backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…450cbacked Under | 79c | 20.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Under | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…fc1ebacked Under | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed Under | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 74c | 15.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bb07backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.