NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4298b49f4fff98168f1342b03a737f5f97b7fab39fe1de8b83908fdf254482e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Sharks, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $593,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $636,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Sharks | 37c | 208,733$77,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,970.99 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Oilers | 63c | 80,000$50,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,600 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 62c | 73,186$45,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,810.71 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 62c | 24,511$15,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,314.3 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Oilers | 63c | 23,000$14,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,510 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Oilers | 58c | 22,641$13,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,589.38 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 38c | 18,989$7,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,221.31 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Oilers | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 64c | 11,142$7,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.81 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…3e40backed Sharks | 0c | 10,029$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…2d77backed Sharks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 34c | 8,649$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.98 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Sharks | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…9076backed Sharks | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Oilers | 64c | 7,687$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.5 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Oilers | 63c | 7,630$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.09 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks | 35c | 6,500$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Oilers | 63c | 6,349$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.21 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sharks | 38c | 5,998$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Oilers | 65c | 5,648$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.83 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 61c | 5,219$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.48 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 54c | 5,141$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.57 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sharks | 64c | 5,136$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.47 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Oilers | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Sharks | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks | 36c | 5,000$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.98 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 17c | 4,791$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.99 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Sharks | 2c | 4,761$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers | 11c | 4,625$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.96 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sharks | 67c | 4,187$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.47 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 45c | 4,147$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.24 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Oilers | 33c | 4,143$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.17 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Oilers | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Sharks | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Oilers | 62c | 3,947$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Oilers | 67c | 3,312$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.22 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Oilers | 62c | 3,224$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.09 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Oilers | 64c | 3,120$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.34 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 18c | 3,030$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.32 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Oilers | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Oilers | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Sharks | 34c | 2,964$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.85 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sharks | 11c | 2,789$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Oilers | 65c | 2,690$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 35c | 2,618$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.26 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oilers | 63c | 2,500$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Sharks | 57c | 2,462$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.89 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Oilers | 8c | 2,415$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.64 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Oilers | 64c | 2,275$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.2 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Sharks | 48c | 2,077$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sharks | 37c | 2,030$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.1 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 65c | 1,991$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.88 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Oilers | 16c | 1,968$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.04 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sharks | 33c | 1,905$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.81 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Oilers | 5c | 1,883$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.93 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Oilers | 36c | 1,851$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.74 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c2…c3aabacked Sharks | 1c | 1,846$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Oilers | 66c | 1,840$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.1 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Oilers | 65c | 1,800$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.12 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Oilers | 62c | 1,800$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers | 63c | 1,792$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.78 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Sharks | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,645$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.34 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sharks | 36c | 1,616$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.68 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Oilers | 7c | 1,555$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.15 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Sharks | 38c | 1,533$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.54 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 71c | 1,477$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.55 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oilers | 49c | 1,470$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.29 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Sharks | 35c | 1,411$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Sharks | 68c | 1,405$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.27 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…b4edbacked Oilers | 14c | 1,380$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +590.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Oilers | 22c | 1,339$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.07 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf58…9c69backed Oilers | 54c | 1,259$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…4cc7backed Oilers | 22c | 1,205$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.95 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Oilers | 63c | 1,183$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Sharks | 38c | 1,169$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.03 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sharks | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Oilers | 66c | 1,091$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.91 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Oilers | 63c | 1,060$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.38 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Oilers | 63c | 1,060$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.31 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Sharks | 46c | 1,003$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 65c | 1,000$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.94 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Oilers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Sharks | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Sharks | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Oilers | 66c | 999.86$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.95 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sharks | 30c | 989.12$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…9bdcbacked Sharks | 38c | 960$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Oilers | 55c | 897.28$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.3 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Oilers | 65c | 892.97$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.34 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Sharks | 34c | 858.59$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.88 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Sharks | 38c | 827$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.26 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Oilers | 48c | 800$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.12 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 8c | 786.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.14 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Oilers | 66c | 783$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.22 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Sharks | 37c | 764.81$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.98 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Oilers | 66c | 757.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.69 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Oilers | 64c | 736.41$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.11 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Oilersthis page
- Sharks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.