TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d8a…e842backed Over59c40,464$23,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,619.122458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Under41c18,933$7,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,762.4111052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c14,419$5,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,928.242,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over59c14,236$8,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,847.8486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over58c6,239$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.851,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under41c5,467$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.3951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under41c5,397$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.182,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under42c4,377$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.9933243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c4,170$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.92,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over58c3,315$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.8979350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under42c2,635$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.8638844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde5d…e2d7backed Over59c2,427$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.572166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over58c2,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.1161953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.997647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under42c1,761$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.261,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under40c1,500$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60532650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under41c1,409$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.371,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under41c1,323$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.4391653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under41c1,250$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.9991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Over59c1,220$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under41c1,202$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.963,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Over59c1,111$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.5175251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff58…42c2backed Under42c1,037$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.952944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under42c1,011$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.613641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under42c899.09$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under44c615.32$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.372,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under42c601.3$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.411833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x738b…765cbacked Over56c553.35$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20553337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under42c461.82$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9624349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under40c443.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.649546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over56c401.06$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.474346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under44c341$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0447051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9820655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under41c325$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12320444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a0…9fcdbacked Under43c289$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.249654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under41c249.89$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over58c238.03$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.979150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8230952.4%162 W · 147 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6348046.9%225 W · 255 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over59c145.17$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.521,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Under45c117.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under46c114.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.332,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under55c113.65$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6415238.8%59 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under42c109.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9160741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under77c103$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Over27c102.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+189%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022443.3%97 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5711127%30 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Under43c94.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.621546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0250…278ebacked Under58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-74.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over27c90$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.762951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa993…1c15backed Under73c90$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.71338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over42c82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3511153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under73c79.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.051,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over27c77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.211,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under73c77$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2115354.9%84 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9a…becbbacked Under43c76.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under41c71.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1626849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Under42c71.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.175942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Over58c69.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.193043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under43c64.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7313954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under43c63.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0913647.1%64 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over58c59.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.019149.5%45 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under41c54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3315447.4%73 W · 81 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2522…c593backed Under42c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under42c45.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2515349%75 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.125258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under57c41.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.591,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under43c40.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2410429.8%31 W · 73 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Under40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158950.6%45 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86f2…0546backed Under43c34.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.99452.1%49 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over58c30.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7138551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fe…a06fbacked Under42c26.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over58c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.689458.5%55 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe178…e480backed Under42c24.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Under73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.