NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91348b8243ff7fa2ac8f043fe22a972a1bbf02b98fdca18a3e0553c843f3a51f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Capitals, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $966,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,035,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $966,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 715 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Canucks | 40c | 240,855$96,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,512.76 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Capitals | 60c | 125,393$75,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,235.88 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Capitals | 60c | 81,143$48,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,685.66 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Canucks | 39c | 73,407$28,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,429.41 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Canucks | 40c | 39,835$15,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,900.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 60c | 39,180$23,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,508 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 60c | 35,935$21,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,669.49 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Capitals | 60c | 28,500$17,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,149.99 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Capitals | 61c | 25,300$15,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,332.98 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Capitals | 61c | 24,813$15,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,085.94 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Canucks | 40c | 21,341$8,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,804.46 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canucks | 46c | 20,227$9,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,008.43 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Canucks | 41c | 18,394$7,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,852.63 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Capitals | 60c | 18,382$11,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,029.41 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Canucks | 40c | 15,134$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,080.36 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Capitals | 57c | 14,200$8,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,093.94 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Capitals | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canucks | 40c | 11,479$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,874.16 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 60c | 9,878$5,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,910.24 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Capitals | 60c | 8,946$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.18 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 60c | 8,534$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120.4 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Capitals | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 60c | 7,941$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,764.34 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Canucks | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 52c | 6,536$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.57 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canucks | 39c | 6,500$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Canucks | 39c | 6,340$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.17 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…6f04backed Capitals | 60c | 5,533$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Canucks | 39c | 5,095$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.73 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 61c | 4,444$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.84 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Capitals | 60c | 4,306$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.6 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Canucks | 40c | 4,266$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.6 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Canucks | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.98 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Capitals | 48c | 3,959$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.21 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Capitals | 3c | 3,866$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.28 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Capitals | 60c | 3,575$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.47 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 60c | 3,355$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.72 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canucks | 40c | 3,339$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.1 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Capitals | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Canucks | 39c | 3,216$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.76 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Canucks | 39c | 3,197$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.23 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canucks | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Capitals | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Capitals | 59c | 2,623$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.47 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Canucks | 40c | 2,613$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.86 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Canucks | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Capitals | 60c | 2,500$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Canucks | 39c | 2,480$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.73 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Canucks | 39c | 2,476$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.36 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…1b3cbacked Capitals | 3c | 2,376$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Canucks | 40c | 2,250$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canucks | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Capitals | 62c | 1,971$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.83 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 60c | 1,928$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.48 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 23c | 1,866$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.95 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 18c | 1,842$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.91 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Capitals | 31c | 1,840$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.53 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Capitals | 7c | 1,666$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Canucks | 61c | 1,627$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.33 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Capitals | 10c | 1,614$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Capitals | 27c | 1,539$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.15 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Canucks | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…dc8fbacked Canucks | 41c | 1,499$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…44f7backed Capitals | 59c | 1,499$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…65a6backed Canucks | 41c | 1,497$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…f594backed Capitals | 59c | 1,497$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a0…0e1fbacked Canucks | 41c | 1,495$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…030cbacked Capitals | 59c | 1,495$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc5…0a58backed Canucks | 41c | 1,494$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…3092backed Capitals | 59c | 1,494$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062c…e434backed Canucks | 41c | 1,492$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a9…6b46backed Capitals | 59c | 1,492$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d2…50c2backed Canucks | 41c | 1,491$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…ec4cbacked Canucks | 41c | 1,491$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d6…8d69backed Capitals | 59c | 1,491$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbc…1c20backed Capitals | 59c | 1,491$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…3a96backed Canucks | 41c | 1,489$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…1bd3backed Capitals | 59c | 1,489$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…e123backed Capitals | 59c | 1,485$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc9…044abacked Canucks | 41c | 1,485$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…77b4backed Capitals | 59c | 1,483$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…ca8dbacked Canucks | 41c | 1,483$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…f2e2backed Capitals | 59c | 1,480$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…9a46backed Canucks | 41c | 1,480$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…c671backed Canucks | 41c | 1,480$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…2600backed Capitals | 59c | 1,480$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…9cd4backed Canucks | 41c | 1,478$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…979ebacked Capitals | 59c | 1,478$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…94a9backed Canucks | 40c | 1,477$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…ba06backed Capitals | 59c | 1,474$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6237…1c35backed Canucks | 41c | 1,474$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6d09backed Capitals | 59c | 1,469$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…3d0dbacked Capitals | 59c | 1,469$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fb…3bd3backed Canucks | 41c | 1,469$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…cb21backed Canucks | 41c | 1,469$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Canucks | 41c | 1,468$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.74 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…a635backed Canucks | 41c | 1,468$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fc…60d4backed Capitals | 59c | 1,468$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…33c2backed Canucks | 41c | 1,467$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Canucksthis page
- Capitals vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.