TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Clippers, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors48c5,850$2,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,068.173,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Warriors58c5,574$3,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.0825753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers42c5,318$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.923,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers49c4,583$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.094,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Clippers4c4,329$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5735326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Clippers3c4,166$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9839018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers45c4,093$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors54c3,336$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors57c2,816$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.481,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Warriors56c1,767$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.4858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers45c1,313$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers66c1,075$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Clippers42c1,058$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.212,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers44c1,018$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.925,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers41c1,011$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.384,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Clippers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30cb…079cbacked Clippers41c977.93$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Warriors51c886.9$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.582,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Warriors56c856.32$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7847651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Clippers44c779.85$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.1349142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Clippers45c694.98$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.7462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Clippers50c628$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3145959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Warriors51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers42c489$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.852,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…3ffebacked Warriors64c468.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.983444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Clippers38c450$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17149938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Clippers45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Clippers45c417$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6517644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Warriors55c335.82$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1251146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Warriors55c322.8$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2617744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Warriors60c237.43$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed Warriors56c237.07$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.312272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x266c…df0fbacked Clippers50c207$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ff…1721backed Warriors51c207$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.431656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8052844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Warriors61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers46c161$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.32,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Warriors48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.248146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Clippers45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed Warriors73c155$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Clippers42c154.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.592,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Warriors61c154$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.061,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Warriors51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.251,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers42c122.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.043,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Clippers41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505131.4%16 W · 35 L-9.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Warriors59c118$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.386446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Warriors59c117$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.976454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x663e…d35bbacked Clippers40c114$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Warriors60c101$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.47361.6%45 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Clippers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Warriors63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04f5…4252backed Clippers51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Clippers49c97.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6516339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Warriors59c94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.545058%29 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Warriors56c88.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Clippers42c80.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.41764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Clippers50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Clippers47c79.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.262,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Warriors59c79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.395345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers47c78.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.643,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Clippers33c72.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2463745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x346d…828fbacked Clippers68c66.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Warriors23c65.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6417527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Warriors62c65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2525056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Clippers50c59.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6611143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Warriors25c59.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3735352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Warriors60c59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.66154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6f8…256ebacked Warriors52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.699547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clippers39c54.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.41,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors37c53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.631,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Clippers49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Warriors52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249653.1%51 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f2…9b10backed Warriors60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Clippers41c48.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.759642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Clippers41c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.681968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked Clippers41c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.272568%17 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked Clippers40c44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Clippers38c41.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.771,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Warriors61c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9913652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Clippers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa57…1e6bbacked Clippers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Warriors51c39.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1722556.9%128 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Clippers41c39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.993351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Clippers39c38.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517345.1%78 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Clippers46c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Clippers43c37.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9488845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3552…f07bbacked Clippers41c36.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516849.4%83 W · 85 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Warriors32c35.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8630616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Clippers41c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.353641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Clippers41c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.944652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Clippers41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.123357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Clippers45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Warriors51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.787950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Clippers41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.33250%16 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Warriors59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.36451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9784…e452backed Warriors36c29.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Clippers63c27.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2811051.8%57 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Clippers41c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.072846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Clippers40c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-56.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Clippers41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.253956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.