TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Over49c81,204$39,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,953.816846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under51c45,544$23,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,427.451,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Over51c7,528$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,821.8110158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under52c7,000$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00016657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Over55c5,470$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.515855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under51c4,806$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.852,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c4,340$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under54c3,553$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.1729748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c3,421$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.931,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under49c3,104$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.041,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c3,014$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under51c2,429$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.6592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under50c2,393$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.813,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c2,327$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.763,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98015745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d04…9435backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8786…982dbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a0…42a3backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802568%17 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c35…5850backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c1,453$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Under55c1,294$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.214158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c1,196$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.612,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c1,100$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4971,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55016436.6%60 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Under51c869.07$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.8411060%66 W · 44 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c847$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c769.37$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.942,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ea…9bedbacked Over47c718$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid+5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under50c613$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.517348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over49c520.63$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1133150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf416…eca5backed Over55c390$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.52236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under55c388.19$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.692,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Over46c328.39$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.062010%2 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-76.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Under51c300.88$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3915348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under51c297.66$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2215649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af9…1d6ebacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0854…fb45backed Over47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over54c163$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.029048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9457250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bed…7574backed Under51c129.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.72263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over48c128.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.023,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under51c127$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.238759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under51c122$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.787451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c109$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.412,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under51c103$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.475650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d37…a714backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce65…6759backed Under71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2913441%55 W · 79 L-16.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5147738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under50c91.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.542,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over34c91.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.681,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under51c86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.149560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46e5…4c5ebacked Over56c78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.681070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Over46c71.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1212727.6%35 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4419756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Over54c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2413652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over55c49.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3750648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under51c47.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0576250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over45c46.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1550948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Under56c45.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2111051.8%57 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Over46c45.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under60c45.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.081,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed Under46c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.763655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42bb…2138backed Over49c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.561747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Under53c43.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.134252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Under46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.222948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43b8…4c31backed Over50c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf5…840ebacked Over49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.092339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd645…d9f0backed Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Under46c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.523964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Over49c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.133647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48d…02d6backed Under48c37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Over54c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.286845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd09…3264backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202030%6 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Under52c34.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.625267.3%35 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Over49c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.662152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over47c32.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3393849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under53c30.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1652460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over52c30.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6637949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.421,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf256…a93fbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513253%70 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.113953.2%74 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.