NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf72b6d360f44e21f8dd29f0a963a0b48598f28c0c2c6615a31e4eaddc17ebd7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 54c | 32,628$17,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,128.88 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 22,635$10,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,638.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 12,368$5,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,557.81 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 51c | 4,710$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.1 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 4,175$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.89 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 42c | 2,502$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.75 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd9…fe8dbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…cd76backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…5626backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…a8eebacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…55ebbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c41…02e2backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 50c | 1,860$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 1,595$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.81 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 1,301$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.66 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 45c | 875$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.75 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 724$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 48c | 480$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 5c | 329.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 54c | 243.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 49c | 199.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…5bdfbacked Over | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Under | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…61c4backed Over | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…bf69backed Over | 51c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 71.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 63.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8357…557fbacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 43c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…c7bfbacked Over | 44c | 44.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…551bbacked Over | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…f9eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…1b84backed Over | 51c | 33.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5this page
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Clippers won
- Warriors vs. ClippersClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.