NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb1d197e87256550336051656648c8f09fa73305c35ed18563a5ae7848709ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Warriors, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Clippers | 45c | 4,656$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.8 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…c9b0backed Clippers | 48c | 3,123$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Warriors | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 52c | 1,017$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.65 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Warriors | 51c | 848.33$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.63 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Warriors | 52c | 834.1$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.73 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 52c | 505$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Warriors | 45c | 441.41$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.77 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 61c | 330.69$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Warriors | 57c | 233.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Warriors | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Warriors | 49c | 83.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…6f6ebacked Clippers | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…a137backed Warriors | 68c | 41.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Warriors | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Warriors | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Clippers won
- Warriors vs. ClippersClippers won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.