TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c9,969$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,966.234,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c8,396$4,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,173.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9202,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Under51c7,791$3,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,819.0717344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c5,780$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.11,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over49c2,494$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.0417250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c2,016$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.231,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Over61c1,650$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over10c1,617$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6752052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over53c1,415$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over54c1,349$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.6292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c1,295$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.322,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c1,018$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.162,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c850$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c815$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.52,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35767252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under42c629.29$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.43,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29410251%52 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9246258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under47c383.95$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4914742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over50c345.3$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6515351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under39c344$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.844,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15914255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over51c290$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.236854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over50c247.52$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6640952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over27c244.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.853,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Over57c238$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.667648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0812650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Over50c200.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.018448.8%41 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Over57c175$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.756855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under50c159.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1133653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under49c156.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.591,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a0…f575backed Over49c144.9$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7516261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dfb…8defbacked Over52c132.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.933129%9 W · 22 L-7.6wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Over57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.48552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6049852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c113.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9960346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over54c108.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.382,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Over55c105.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2915348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over51c104.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5341354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1733442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over51c103.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5342551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Over57c96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.728151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d37…a714backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over53c92.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911853.4%63 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c91.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.112,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over50c74.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.138347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Under43c72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.044660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c70.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.294,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d10…fc1abacked Under44c68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.081546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3123539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7691…e41abacked Under44c64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under47c63.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4893849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Over50c61.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.918347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.431754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Over56c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.813652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc212…18b9backed Over50c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278737.9%33 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c48.19$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed Under43c48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.363154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed Over50c47.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8310454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under52c47.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5650648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Under43c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.083148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Under43c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.086157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8d…4dc6backed Over50c43.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.965457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe74e…90b6backed Over51c42.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.58248.8%40 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under47c41.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed Under43c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.373762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Under43c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.373650%18 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a4…be3abacked Under43c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.373161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8536…cb0abacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019543.1%84 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0cab…7489backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaed3…205bbacked Over51c38.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.562544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb1…0e16backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-3.7wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Under43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.952035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed Under43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.951838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11e7…6d5cbacked Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb308…19debacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a80…cbf7backed Under43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.12339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a81…b783backed Over51c29.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Under43c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.394062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Under43c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.394057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over55c26.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5876250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Under43c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.823154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Under43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f96…92e0backed Under43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x699a…38febacked Over51c24.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55851.7%30 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked Over50c24.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.188744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.