NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc21b770a5abd84eb74e3e20fb863f7a33608f6f407687b332b9e895c21cf0c46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,206,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,280,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,206,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Nuggets | 25c | 361,892$89,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272,472.12 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Celtics | 75c | 170,727$128,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,044.98 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Nuggets | 25c | 156,889$39,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,554.37 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 26c | 144,357$37,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,005.48 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Nuggets | 22c | 133,760$29,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,407.6 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 24c | 119,294$28,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,663.06 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Nuggets | 36c | 98,311$35,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,263.94 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Celtics | 76c | 83,333$63,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,333.05 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Nuggets | 29c | 69,720$20,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,656.47 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 76c | 66,460$50,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,509.58 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Nuggets | 24c | 60,228$14,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,890.47 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 26c | 56,377$14,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,601.73 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Celtics | 1c | 55,433$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 34c | 52,423$17,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,450.12 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 73c | 35,115$25,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,767.03 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Nuggets | 25c | 35,000$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,349.98 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Celtics | 76c | 32,000$24,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,200 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Celtics | 76c | 27,677$21,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,034.27 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics | 72c | 27,035$19,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,488.36 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 75c | 26,166$19,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,722.72 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 76c | 25,365$19,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,192.1 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 66c | 23,822$15,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,719.92 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Celtics | 76c | 23,055$17,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,529.39 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Celtics | 75c | 23,000$17,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,250 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc2…ee35backed Celtics | 75c | 21,333$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics | 55c | 20,046$11,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,080.26 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Celtics | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Celtics | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Celtics | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Nuggets | 25c | 20,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,099.99 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 74c | 18,662$13,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,731.66 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 72c | 17,882$12,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,964.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Celtics | 2c | 17,414$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.73 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…fc74backed Celtics | 76c | 17,039$12,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,950 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Celtics | 75c | 16,327$12,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,245.45 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 75c | 15,837$11,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,946.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 29c | 15,514$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,014.86 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Nuggets | 25c | 15,495$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,657.3 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Celtics | 66c | 15,001$9,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,846.83 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Celtics | 76c | 14,700$11,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,172 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Celtics | 7c | 14,603$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.6 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Nuggets | 26c | 14,009$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,366.72 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 61c | 13,868$8,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,434.6 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…bc6dbacked Nuggets | 29c | 13,677$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,720.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Celtics | 30c | 13,638$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.85 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Celtics | 19c | 12,634$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.04 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Celtics | 76c | 12,300$9,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,348 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 35c | 12,049$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,834.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Celtics | 69c | 12,001$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250.22 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Celtics | 76c | 11,690$8,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,884.15 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…679bbacked Celtics | 77c | 11,640$8,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,962.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Celtics | 75c | 11,110$8,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,332.5 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 72c | 10,782$7,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,739.08 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Celtics | 75c | 10,731$8,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,029.64 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 23c | 10,290$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,923.1 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Celtics | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Nuggets | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Nuggets | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.97 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Nuggets | 25c | 9,993$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,514.63 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 75c | 9,787$7,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,341.78 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 75c | 9,574$7,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,177.16 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Celtics | 75c | 8,985$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720.25 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Celtics | 76c | 8,896$6,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,758.87 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 75c | 8,578$6,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,473.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Celtics | 76c | 8,508$6,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,466.36 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Celtics | 71c | 8,500$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,034.96 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 76c | 8,046$6,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,113.19 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 74c | 7,894$5,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.72 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea59…0654backed Nuggets | 24c | 7,312$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,557.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 24c | 7,100$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Nuggets | 25c | 7,096$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,321.99 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Celtics | 68c | 7,024$4,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,793.56 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nuggets | 29c | 6,616$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.62 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Celtics | 77c | 6,494$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Celtics | 75c | 6,468$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.16 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Celtics | 78c | 6,410$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Celtics | 74c | 6,402$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.81 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Celtics | 75c | 6,231$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,673.61 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Celtics | 1c | 5,701$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Celtics | 76c | 5,621$4,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,252.4 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 24c | 5,466$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.54 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Nuggets | 28c | 5,435$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,935.31 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Celtics | 76c | 5,241$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.23 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Nuggets | 24c | 5,154$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.17 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Celtics | 75c | 5,120$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Celtics | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Nuggets | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.99 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Celtics | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.96 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Nuggets | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.96 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Celtics | 76c | 4,930$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.8 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Nuggets | 29c | 4,710$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.03 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Nuggets | 28c | 4,600$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Celtics | 75c | 4,480$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Nuggets | 24c | 4,440$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.29 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Nuggets | 39c | 4,302$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.15 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Nuggets | 64c | 4,262$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.88 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nuggets | 32c | 4,252$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.37 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Celtics | 76c | 4,245$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.16 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Celtics | 76c | 4,175$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.91 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.