NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dcc13f7fdacf8bebc3b744e605cc273cbc8e0df7b4340c74443a57b9ceae722
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 17,156$8,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,726.93 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 3,194$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 16c | 2,678$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.96 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 2,516$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 1c | 2,454$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 51c | 2,055$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.62 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 1,753$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.12 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,516$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.93 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,142$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,114$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 51c | 721$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.99 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 683.62$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 614$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.28 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under | 59c | 508.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.9 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 495.36$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.31 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 494.21$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 41c | 447.18$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 55c | 415.65$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 49c | 409$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 35c | 313$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 272$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 12c | 198.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 185$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 37c | 139.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 45c | 139.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 46c | 129.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 46c | 111.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Over | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b68…e03fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 51c | 95.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…104cbacked Over | 53c | 88.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 41c | 82.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 57c | 81.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 44c | 79.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 51c | 73.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Over | 56c | 71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 47c | 58.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…1a0dbacked Over | 50c | 50.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…241bbacked Under | 49c | 42.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 36.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…a930backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 49c | 32.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 31.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 29.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Over | 54c | 27.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 46c | 25.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…99d2backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 63c | 24.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 54c | 21.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 20.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Over | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. CelticsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.