NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f3d4c59794090100c55904b931f6cd3d6f1f40e07810540b7963fa14891ab29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Celtics, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $868,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $882,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $868,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Celtics | 52c | 547,976$283,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283,921.96 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 48c | 213,224$102,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,876.39 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 48c | 180,000$86,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,600 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,200 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Nuggets | 49c | 38,266$18,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,420.09 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nuggets | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Nuggets | 50c | 19,704$9,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,855.99 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Nuggets | 48c | 18,888$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,821.75 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets | 49c | 18,855$9,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,621.45 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 13,487$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,826.71 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Nuggets | 49c | 13,179$6,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,721.15 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Celtics | 49c | 11,695$5,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,730.54 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Nuggets | 49c | 11,000$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,610 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049.98 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Celtics | 50c | 9,955$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.55 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Celtics | 50c | 8,734$4,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.91 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…2ad2backed Celtics | 49c | 8,700$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…93a3backed Nuggets | 51c | 8,300$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Celtics | 50c | 6,976$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,488 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 48c | 6,973$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Celtics | 47c | 6,464$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Celtics | 49c | 6,431$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.27 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…36b1backed Celtics | 50c | 5,630$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Celtics | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 5,557$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.05 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 50c | 5,240$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.68 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Celtics | 52c | 4,815$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…bc6dbacked Celtics | 63c | 4,594$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,284$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.54 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Celtics | 50c | 4,043$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.65 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Celtics | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,967$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 47c | 3,931$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.79 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Celtics | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 36c | 3,262$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.76 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…0736backed Celtics | 50c | 3,163$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Celtics | 47c | 3,085$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.8 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Celtics | 50c | 2,921$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.59 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,622$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Celtics | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 35c | 2,384$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.84 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 36c | 2,240$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,220$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Celtics | 54c | 2,174$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Celtics | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…5af4backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,144$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Celtics | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Nuggets | 24c | 1,779$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.04 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,734$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.64 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,637$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.24 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Celtics | 50c | 1,610$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.84 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 51c | 1,516$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.25 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…eca5backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,516$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.55 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Celtics | 33c | 1,357$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.89 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,321$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Nuggets | 69c | 1,153$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.42 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,036$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.49 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Celtics | 47c | 972.35$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Celtics | 49c | 941.9$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.93 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Nuggets | 49c | 899.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 47c | 877$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.19 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Nuggets | 49c | 847.82$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Celtics | 50c | 783.38$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.69 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 680$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Nuggets | 50c | 677.4$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.7 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 50c | 671.59$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.66 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Nuggets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Nuggets | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Nuggets | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Nuggets | 73c | 584.16$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Nuggets | 50c | 531$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 526$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Celtics | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Nuggets | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Celtics | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 50c | 480.23$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 47c | 454$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.38 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Celtics | 7c | 428.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 52c | 427.69$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Nuggets | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Celtics | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Celtics | 51c | 388.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Nuggets | 51c | 368.16$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.16 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Celtics | 50c | 355.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.92 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Nuggets | 73c | 353.41$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Celtics | 36c | 334.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Celtics | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…c10abacked Nuggets | 50c | 308.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. CelticsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.