NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1de541870b10d4260ff49609e605e2b35bfc3f9fc4dfd39e65b4ea2bbfefca12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Canucks, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,790,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,892,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,790,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Canucks | 44c | 640,187$280,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280,332.94 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Canucks | 42c | 500,000$210,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209,999.92 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Red Wings | 57c | 250,070$142,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,029.46 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Red Wings | 58c | 238,096$138,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000.32 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 56c | 157,105$87,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,126.38 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Canucks | 42c | 139,335$58,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,612.41 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Red Wings | 58c | 118,951$68,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,959.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Red Wings | 58c | 96,527$55,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,793.05 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings | 58c | 65,000$37,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,300 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings | 56c | 63,281$35,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,753.83 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Red Wings | 58c | 43,071$24,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,089.82 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Red Wings | 70c | 32,950$23,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,884.98 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Wings | 58c | 30,238$17,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,702.17 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings | 65c | 20,163$13,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,028.81 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Red Wings | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Canucks | 0c | 19,568$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Red Wings | 70c | 18,583$13,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,580.59 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Red Wings | 58c | 17,500$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Red Wings | 75c | 16,957$12,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.95 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Red Wings | 70c | 13,114$9,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.27 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Red Wings | 57c | 13,000$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,590 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Canucks | 42c | 12,973$5,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.57 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Red Wings | 58c | 11,950$6,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,019 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 57c | 11,000$6,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,736.88 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 60c | 10,159$6,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.43 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Red Wings | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 56c | 9,760$5,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.32 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Canucks | 43c | 9,302$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 60c | 9,004$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.08 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canucks | 42c | 8,867$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.19 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Canucks | 42c | 7,766$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.72 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canucks | 43c | 6,500$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canucks | 40c | 6,500$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Wings | 58c | 5,555$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.1 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Canucks | 42c | 5,326$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Red Wings | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 67c | 4,911$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 57c | 4,820$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.8 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings | 58c | 4,339$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.35 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Red Wings | 58c | 4,305$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.13 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Red Wings | 70c | 4,277$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.1 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canucks | 0c | 4,133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Red Wings | 57c | 4,049$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.54 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Canucks | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 56c | 3,816$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.17 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canucks | 39c | 3,688$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.34 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Red Wings | 58c | 3,554$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.68 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Red Wings | 57c | 3,500$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Red Wings | 57c | 3,450$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.64 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Red Wings | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.22 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Red Wings | 71c | 3,404$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.18 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings | 58c | 3,400$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Canucks | 11c | 2,639$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.71 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Red Wings | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Red Wings | 57c | 2,541$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.64 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Canucks | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Red Wings | 70c | 2,380$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.06 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Red Wings | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Canucks | 43c | 2,299$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.5 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Canucks | 42c | 2,284$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.81 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Red Wings | 71c | 2,228$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.24 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 57c | 2,200$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.67 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings | 59c | 2,165$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.55 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…48fcbacked Red Wings | 60c | 2,100$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 71c | 2,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Canucks | 42c | 1,909$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.67 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d31…0a23backed Red Wings | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,760$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.8 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Red Wings | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…851ebacked Red Wings | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Canucks | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canucks | 28c | 1,547$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.26 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,500$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Canucks | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canucks | 6c | 1,485$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…ec28backed Red Wings | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Canucks | 42c | 1,396$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.29 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Red Wings | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2b…573cbacked Red Wings | 60c | 1,332$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Red Wings | 70c | 1,326$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa23a…9b72backed Canucks | 40c | 1,312$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…14b7backed Canucks | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Canucks | 43c | 1,275$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.16 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Canucks | 27c | 1,248$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.86 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Red Wings | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Canucks | 43c | 1,206$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.67 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Canucks | 13c | 1,206$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed Canucks | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7da…aad7backed Canucks | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Red Wings | 58c | 1,092$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.16 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,050$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bd…ba9cbacked Canucks | 40c | 1,050$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…09bfbacked Canucks | 40c | 1,050$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Red Wings | 57c | 1,021$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.01 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Canucks | 32c | 1,006$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.46 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Red Wings | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Canucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Canucks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Canucks vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.