TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,078,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,323,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,078,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Nets43c761,256$327,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433,769.9272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Nets46c539,274$249,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290,216.451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Nets50c266,813$133,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133,078.899043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz52c254,498$133,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,207.72,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Nets42c238,094$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138,094.7821057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Jazz0c225,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz58c150,000$87,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,00048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz50c136,634$68,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,521.324,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz58c134,055$77,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,131.71,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4c…e850backed Jazz0c120,920$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets46c119,431$54,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,492.4987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jazz58c119,068$68,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,483.4540446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9189…572fbacked Jazz0c80,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Jazz42c70,566$29,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,697.917758.4%45 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Jazz52c68,783$36,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,068.7739842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Jazz59c61,663$36,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,381.0244352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Nets42c59,524$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,523.8116752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz54c58,402$31,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,348.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz57c57,385$32,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,673.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz56c50,513$28,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,280.192,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Jazz58c50,000$29,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,00060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f29…ea1abacked Jazz53c41,509$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,999.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jazz58c40,584$23,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,538.7214358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20a9…e9b6backed Jazz58c37,903$21,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,984.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Jazz57c37,600$21,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,4327468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Jazz54c35,000$18,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,90011547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz34c33,854$11,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,616.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz59c31,265$18,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,356.482,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Nets57c31,063$17,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,334.472040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz57c29,427$16,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,6862,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Jazz45c28,881$13,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,091.163938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz2c28,566$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.033,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Jazz54c23,336$12,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,601.5210547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz42c22,947$9,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,523.271,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c23…2890backed Jazz60c21,700$13,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac3c…d637backed Nets40c21,700$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,0202128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2948…d0b7backed Nets47c21,400$10,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,3421241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz50c21,261$10,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,640.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Jazz52c20,539$10,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,680.335646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4885…a8f4backed Nets47c20,091$9,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,648.46757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Jazz59c20,000$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,80017646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Jazz58c20,000$11,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,599.8559653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz45c18,989$8,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,569.853,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Jazz55c18,750$10,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,224.6148944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Nets77c18,389$14,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,203.2810952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jazz56c18,200$10,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,1921,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Jazz59c18,000$10,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,62028554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz53c17,500$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,25087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Jazz59c17,475$10,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,237.87640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz58c17,397$10,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,103.321,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed Nets37c17,354$6,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,857.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Jazz59c17,057$10,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,063.6319560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Jazz53c16,981$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Jazz57c16,631$9,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,437.7130845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Jazz45c16,378$7,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,344.2348956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz57c16,067$9,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,098.554,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz53c15,968$8,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,503.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Jazz55c15,104$8,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3075437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Jazz59c13,586$7,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,962.0515147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz53c13,505$7,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,142.412,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Jazz53c13,376$7,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,024.3828742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz58c12,666$7,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,385.041,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85e9…5e96backed Jazz64c11,700$7,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,488757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd68…90efbacked Nets36c11,700$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,488742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz11c11,664$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.521,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Nets57c11,268$6,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,841.4683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jazz59c11,170$6,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,559.162351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz54c10,954$5,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,915.061,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Jazz55c10,704$5,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,887.0336359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Jazz59c10,203$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0203151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Jazz59c10,186$6,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,01016042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Jazz58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.9914243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Jazz11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Nets42c9,999$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.4115247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Jazz50c9,990$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99521944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Jazz54c9,664$5,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,218.386651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz0c9,440$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.931,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Jazz55c9,421$5,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,212.5139958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jazz55c8,671$4,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,786.6392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09c…4d9abacked Nets47c8,069$3,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,253.592347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Jazz59c8,003$4,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,72231644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Jazz58c8,000$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,639.7125753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d2…796ebacked Nets54c7,763$4,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,584.279250%46 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz54c7,662$4,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,163.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Jazz59c7,407$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,369.8410850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jazz58c7,170$4,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,158.659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Jazz55c7,000$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,86041652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jazz53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Jazz65c6,911$4,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,480.6614454.9%79 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Jazz56c6,893$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,860.3513063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jazz57c6,848$3,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,903.1616844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Nets41c6,845$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,038.5410236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Jazz64c6,788$4,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,344.299852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Jazz54c6,666$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.3871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Jazz51c6,664$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.4222458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Jazz54c6,659$3,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,59640350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nets64c6,438$4,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.211,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Jazz53c6,190$3,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,280.76860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets37c6,077$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,833.7377348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Jazz52c6,001$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.5214945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.