NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7475a32dc6e4087c704690b8dca5985ad18a846bc85ec255f5b6f877a3be0970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 10,975$5,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,223.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 48c | 7,371$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.96 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Over | 49c | 3,806$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 45c | 2,533$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 57c | 2,281$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.7 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.46 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 52c | 967.31$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.31 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 502.4$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.33 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 51c | 404$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.96 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed Under | 52c | 380.77$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 313.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 62c | 309.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 57c | 204.04$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 202$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 19c | 173.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1ec5backed Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Under | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 146.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Under | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 45c | 122.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 19c | 115.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 48c | 113.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 108.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 101.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 96.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 64.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…461ebacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 52c | 46.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 56c | 44.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Under | 74c | 38.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11e6…f767backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 36.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 52c | 28.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-0.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-1.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-2.5)Nets won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cam Thomas: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. JazzNets won
- Nets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nets vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nets vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Jazz (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Jazz (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Nets won
- Spread: Jazz (-4.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.