NBA · resolved market
Spread: Jazz (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b95164f13dcd8175a0122b1079add158579397fb45b5cfe4c4d1610160a8fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Jazz, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 47c | 9,930$4,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,641.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 53c | 5,619$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 63c | 5,483$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Nets | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 48c | 3,899$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz | 29c | 2,726$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.01 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 44c | 2,654$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Jazz | 58c | 2,164$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.22 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nets | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Nets | 45c | 1,118$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.9 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Jazz | 56c | 1,032$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.6 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 57c | 739.28$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nets | 54c | 707$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.22 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets | 53c | 370.94$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.34 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Jazz | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Nets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Jazz | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 58c | 134.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 44c | 114.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 42c | 103.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Nets | 18c | 60.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Nets | 64c | 53.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Nets | 64c | 52.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Nets | 53c | 49.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jazz | 58c | 43.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Jazz | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Nets | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Jazz | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Jazz | 58c | 32.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nets | 43c | 26.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jazz (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-0.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-1.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-2.5)Nets won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cam Thomas: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. JazzNets won
- Nets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nets vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nets vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5Under won
- Nets vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Jazz (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Nets won
- Spread: Jazz (-4.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.