La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30eeae08b3166be19ae46b505f445afe070ab421b2213f684c3e66c991c94716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 64c | 135,481$86,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,773.22 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 38,264$13,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,354.36 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 36c | 25,046$8,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,990.61 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 19,950$6,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,698.51 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 36c | 16,656$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 10,459$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.58 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 10,294$3,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.26 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 37c | 9,000$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 36c | 8,178$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.01 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 64c | 7,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…4564backed No | 62c | 6,683$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 12c | 4,884$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.2 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 36c | 4,457$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.52 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 11c | 2,999$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.89 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 61c | 2,650$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…eba4backed Yes | 37c | 2,585$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 65c | 2,363$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 64c | 2,185$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.38 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 63c | 1,746$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.03 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 65c | 1,501$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.51 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 65c | 1,468$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.01 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 64c | 1,443$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.35 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 70c | 1,403$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.18 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 35c | 1,382$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.65 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…6d7ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,109$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 20c | 1,042$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 1,030$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.25 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…940bbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 61c | 999.92$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.97 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…01cebacked Yes | 18c | 969.23$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 64c | 948.12$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.32 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 34c | 939$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 65c | 922.96$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.55 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 903$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.17 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 20c | 790$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed Yes | 36c | 752.19$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 35c | 694.51$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 23c | 678.44$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.52 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…1220backed Yes | 7c | 674.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed No | 64c | 664.37$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 662.03$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed No | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 36c | 613.89$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 64c | 590$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 36c | 580.4$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.94 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 577.57$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.11 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 33c | 573$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.75 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 36c | 554$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 37c | 542$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.85 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 32c | 519.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 63c | 499.96$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 36c | 490.09$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.43 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 35c | 487.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.81 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 20c | 480$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 8c | 480$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Yes | 36c | 457.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 36c | 456.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.34 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 36c | 444$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 34c | 413.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 77c | 409.31$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 40c | 399.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed No | 64c | 384.45$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Yes | 36c | 369.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 64c | 341.85$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 36c | 323.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…302abacked No | 65c | 317.78$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 13c | 317.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 64c | 314$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 228 | 39.9%91 W · 137 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 24c | 289.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f2…1461backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 30c | 267.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.02 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 62c | 263.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 11c | 260$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed No | 65c | 235.53$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Yes | 18c | 226.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 43c | 218.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 14c | 215.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will CA Osasuna vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.