TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc482…b505backed Yes73c16,633$12,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,536.384057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c6,427$2,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,834.434,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No25c6,014$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.739134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No22c5,876$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.431,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No71c3,143$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.43847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No35c2,942$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.2790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes29c2,800$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9889058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c2,553$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.33,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No72c2,207$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.241752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c2,204$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.242,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes29c1,909$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.398243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No54c1,045$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes27c1,000$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.3940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes34c959.06$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.9349057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes77c835.48$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.992070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.677553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes36c727.78$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.7823152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c719.44$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5184452.3%23 W · 21 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1753158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No70c658.18$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.327854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c598.3$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c570.63$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.851,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No14c515.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9355941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes26c404.63$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.4212626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No71c344.82$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.826553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No53c316$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.343030%9 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe73d…601abacked No72c290.28$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20920%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No45c284.97$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4516838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No29c265.79$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.559533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes22c209.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0914333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0781…6bc8backed No9c162.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No71c160$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.66762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No51c156.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2110143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5819652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes33c117.31$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.641147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No40c112$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.211947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No37c108.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.172222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed No19c100.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.626144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…c35dbacked Yes31c100.45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711625%4 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c99.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.992975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes24c98.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.837853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No43c93.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5724048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a40…0220backed Yes30c87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.334055%22 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes25c81.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.28075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd501…924bbacked Yes30c80$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa633…1cf7backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.5wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+53.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd086…6b7dbacked Yes29c80$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ad…0091backed Yes30c78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No72c77.57$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.69158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2eb…c8aebacked Yes30c76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No71c75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2514574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No69c74.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7517455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b9…2ce5backed Yes30c73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc139…dd51backed Yes30c72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+163%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No42c71.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9959655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf277…9d9dbacked No23c71.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32f…9497backed Yes29c71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+71%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb719…a11ebacked Yes29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed No71c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.76237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked No72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7935…fa59backed Yes30c69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.972548%12 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd302…0311backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No26c65.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9115643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9684…16ecbacked Yes66c63.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be1…2b7ebacked Yes30c58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick29cpaid+251.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddc4…e1d8backed Yes73c54.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0609…b093backed No48c53.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes68c51.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.542462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.55558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No71c49.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.510270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes35c48.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed No42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes60c38.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.492360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde33…1496backed Yes27c37.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes65c37.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.851,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x560e…9607backed Yes30c36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick38cpaid+177.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c35$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No71c33.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1117660.2%106 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee77…ad2abacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes73c30.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3412944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed No70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3aca…d156backed Yes78c28.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No71c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8828558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No39c25.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0257252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes57c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c21.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1930956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.218564.9%120 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.29267.4%62 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.211761.5%72 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No67c19.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1615444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042e…4114backed Yes77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.483100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.