TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb719…a11e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT8549.4%42 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.08
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.62
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.69
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+41%+$8.21
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+154%+$30.79
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.61
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+182.2%+$91.11
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.86
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kigali: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Geabacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Hersonissos: Lorenzo Giustino vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Hersonissos: Robin Bertrand vs Adria Soriano Barrerabacked Robin Bertrand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Hersonissos: Lui Maxted vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$38.57
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+148%+$103.61
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+132.2%+$39.67
Rotterdam Open: Valentin Royer vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$68.5
Qatar Total Open: Alexandra Eala vs Tereza Valentovabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Open Sud de France: Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Open Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Alexandra Ealabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Transylvania Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Olga Danilovicbacked Danilovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Open Sud de France: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardibacked Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.61
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Moise Kouamebacked Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.19
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.13
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$22.64
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$17.16
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.3%+$25.59
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will CA Osasuna vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+244.8%+$49.7
Will Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45.5
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$42
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.22
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.21
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israelbacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Secret vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.