TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnerof Shelton, Sinner
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,185,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,144,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,185,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Shelton10c201,034$20,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,210.292245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Shelton4c83,924$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.9680938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048b…09efbacked Shelton8c79,345$6,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,388.711020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid+66.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Shelton8c45,415$3,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,851.7476146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Shelton2c45,000$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.2717823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Shelton11c39,960$4,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,422.319134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca76…28b3backed Shelton11c27,273$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Shelton9c27,262$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.581,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Shelton11c22,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4751323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+369.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Shelton2c20,889$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36672132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Shelton10c20,058$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0796235.5%22 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadb4…3214backed Shelton7c20,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.562326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Shelton9c19,611$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.9857939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f58…6f3cbacked Shelton8c19,174$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4971241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed Shelton1c19,150$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.31618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-63.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Shelton4c15,393$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.0745737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Shelton10c10,531$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.052334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Shelton10c10,155$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.4711230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Shelton11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Shelton10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9920653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Shelton7c9,649$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.772,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Shelton9c7,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Shelton10c5,902$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.3725722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shelton4c5,193$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.016,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2040…70f4backed Shelton0c5,100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+102.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Shelton10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9910043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Shelton11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Shelton11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005036%18 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Shelton3c4,410$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Shelton9c3,660$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.420043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Shelton6c3,497$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6722033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e9…e33ebacked Shelton3c3,413$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922030%6 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+166%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Shelton10c3,390$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33919835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked Shelton11c3,300$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3634117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Shelton2c3,216$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8545457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Shelton10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007618.4%14 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0122…d4a9backed Shelton2c3,000$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2073…385bbacked Shelton3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908042.5%34 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Shelton10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008640.7%35 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Shelton11c3,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32027132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec2…39c5backed Shelton11c2,790$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Shelton9c2,717$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5614450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Shelton7c2,547$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3122344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Shelton9c2,515$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.731332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Shelton2c2,492$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616050%30 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Shelton8c2,368$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18028833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Shelton5c2,357$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5731146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Shelton11c2,297$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.721937.9%83 W · 136 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Shelton11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a37…6c95backed Shelton2c2,187$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505322.6%12 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Shelton11c2,127$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23454138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Shelton7c2,045$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.972,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Shelton11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22014243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e0…732cbacked Shelton8c1,860$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd0…9812backed Shelton4c1,825$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick18cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4eae…5095backed Shelton10c1,722$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.151030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Shelton7c1,711$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4817818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Shelton7c1,680$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11428322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Shelton11c1,562$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.819348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Shelton10c1,491$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2225428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc128…86dabacked Shelton2c1,348$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Shelton6c1,200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.63423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Shelton2c1,116$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3712033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc10c…d845backed Shelton13c1,062$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Shelton10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Shelton2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051f…66b0backed Shelton10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Shelton10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008555.3%47 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a5…0c3dbacked Shelton11c969.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Shelton9c950.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.221843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd891…b2b9backed Shelton8c914.22$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ed…b2d8backed Shelton11c909.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.018056.3%45 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8069…30e3backed Shelton11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005147.1%24 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x749f…714bbacked Shelton11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010562.9%66 W · 39 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked Shelton12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Shelton12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f8…2d91backed Shelton2c824.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Shelton5c800$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.974599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7748…58d7backed Shelton11c784.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.03837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Shelton13c753.85$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987021.4%15 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6986…d7a4backed Shelton4c739.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+99.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Shelton4c737.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.121,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Shelton3c717.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Shelton7c707.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.844827.1%13 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-48.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb12…9788backed Shelton11c681.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf2…24d7backed Shelton9c588.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+86.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…fa95backed Shelton3c586$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7960…1f80backed Shelton9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Shelton12c555$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.66435.9%23 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Shelton3c509.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82934.3%4 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Shelton10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014343.4%62 W · 81 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Shelton8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Shelton11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Shelton8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Shelton9c499.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9912740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Shelton10c477.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010134.7%35 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Shelton5c420.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012344.7%55 W · 68 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0181…c1c5backed Shelton12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Shelton9c411.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3737444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…a60fbacked Shelton11c409.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459460.6%57 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.