Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e91e2712fe69bbc5db1f46700f7385a8ee420f5aee92d3182fe65f6d4eca456

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sinnerof Sinner, Shelton
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $149,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $181,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,827 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x83b4…13c9backed Sinner	52c	21,905$11,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,413.67	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shelton	43c	19,899$8,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,565.53	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Shelton	48c	17,218$8,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,194.17	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+369.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7248…5394backed Sinner	57c	16,448$9,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,069.33	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.22per pick	64cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Sinner	55c	11,832$6,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,278.19	183	37.7%69 W · 114 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Shelton	43c	11,453$4,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,929.87	579	39.7%230 W · 349 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Sinner	53c	8,094$4,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,824.46	761	46.6%355 W · 406 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shelton	47c	6,705$3,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,176.51	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Shelton	50c	5,731$2,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,855.29	208	44.2%92 W · 116 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Sinner	55c	5,418$2,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,458.3	291	46%134 W · 157 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Sinner	52c	5,019$2,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,409.21	178	23%41 W · 137 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Shelton	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Shelton	44c	4,489$1,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,990.03	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Sinner	77c	3,284$2,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.6	157	51.6%81 W · 76 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Sinner	58c	2,552$1,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.13	443	60%266 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Sinner	59c	2,538$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,037.73	1,267	56.6%717 W · 550 L	-18.5wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Sinner	59c	2,217$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$916.73	369	68%251 W · 118 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Shelton	24c	2,140$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.67	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Shelton	48c	2,086$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.3	182	37.9%69 W · 113 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0122…d4a9backed Shelton	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Sinner	61c	1,971$1,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.75	129	49.6%64 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Sinner	55c	1,500$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.99	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Sinner	53c	1,431$757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.1	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Shelton	17c	1,276$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.89	108	15.7%17 W · 91 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+248.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Shelton	45c	1,243$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.23	104	40.4%42 W · 62 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Shelton	45c	1,099$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.71	930	55.8%519 W · 411 L	+23.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Shelton	46c	1,087$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	721	32%231 W · 490 L	-17.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Shelton	47c	1,031$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.38	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Shelton	45c	991.11$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446	261	58.2%152 W · 109 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Sinner	51c	948.63$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.57	281	41.6%117 W · 164 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Shelton	45c	888.89$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Shelton	48c	845.99$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	127	40.2%51 W · 76 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Shelton	47c	843.05$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	606	41.6%252 W · 354 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Shelton	6c	793.8$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.19	220	33.6%74 W · 146 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Shelton	32c	772.97$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	288	33.3%96 W · 192 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e1…ab0fbacked Sinner	55c	723.42$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.91	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked Sinner	54c	712.96$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.96	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Shelton	46c	652.17$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sinner	57c	635.75$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.02	2,145	54.2%1,162 W · 983 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Shelton	46c	601.91$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.88	583	59.2%345 W · 238 L	-8.3wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Shelton	44c	599.94$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.97	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Shelton	43c	513.12$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.05	520	37.7%196 W · 324 L	-30.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Shelton	44c	512.3$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.57	348	42.2%147 W · 201 L	+12.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Sinner	56c	472.27$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.07	198	46%91 W · 107 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b79…722bbacked Sinner	63c	463.46$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.32	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Shelton	42c	462.84$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	543	48.1%261 W · 282 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Shelton	41c	420$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.6	489	41.1%201 W · 288 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Shelton	45c	413.98$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.29	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Sinner	54c	378.57$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.71	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Sinner	55c	373.01$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.82	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3277…be5fbacked Sinner	56c	333.91$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.82	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Shelton	47c	317.03$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Shelton	52c	299.99$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.72	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Shelton	46c	287$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.02	380	48.4%184 W · 196 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Sinner	73c	285.09$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.7	138	52.2%72 W · 66 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Sinner	56c	267.86$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.86	389	51.9%202 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Sinner	56c	267.86$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.86	693	50.5%350 W · 343 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba4c…9dc3backed Shelton	44c	249.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-5.2wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Shelton	45c	246.08$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.97	142	43%61 W · 81 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Shelton	46c	232.19$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.25	314	34.4%108 W · 206 L	-25.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Shelton	45c	222.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	518	49.4%256 W · 262 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sinner	52c	214.53$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.97	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Shelton	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	134	35.1%47 W · 87 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Shelton	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	359	44.8%161 W · 198 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c7d…5a4fbacked Shelton	47c	212.07$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.72	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+18%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Shelton	48c	206.29$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Sinner	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-38%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Shelton	42c	199.97$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.99	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Sinner	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	234	54.7%128 W · 106 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Sinner	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	60	50%30 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Shelton	48c	166$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.69	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed Shelton	46c	163.04$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-8.6wins	-0.18per pick	59cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Shelton	45c	155.56$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	419	55.8%234 W · 185 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked Shelton	46c	154.55$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.55	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Sinner	54c	150.37$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.17	437	49%214 W · 223 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Shelton	27c	149.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.34	190	43.7%83 W · 107 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…1448backed Sinner	55c	139.3$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.68	95	70.5%67 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Shelton	47c	122.74$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.69	960	35.4%340 W · 620 L	-40.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Sinner	50c	121.74$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.87	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x892f…820ebacked Sinner	57c	119.79$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.51	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Shelton	43c	116.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	252	37.3%94 W · 158 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Shelton	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	603	42%253 W · 350 L	+11.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0435…906bbacked Shelton	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Shelton	45c	111.09$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+131.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Shelton	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	459	9.6%44 W · 415 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebcb…dd4bbacked Sinner	56c	98.21$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.21	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Shelton	13c	96.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	83	13.3%11 W · 72 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	7cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9860…c343backed Sinner	73c	94.86$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.27	34	73.5%25 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5338…f428backed Shelton	45c	94.64$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.59	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Shelton	45c	88.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	346	37.9%131 W · 215 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…0857backed Sinner	71c	87.92$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.93	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Sinner	60c	83.73$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.73	1,428	48.2%689 W · 739 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Shelton	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	191	29.8%57 W · 134 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74e6…99e8backed Sinner	72c	77.45$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.31	80	61.3%49 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Shelton	37c	71.76$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.7	884	55%486 W · 398 L	+37.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Sinner	70c	71.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.21	418	46.2%193 W · 225 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Shelton	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,258	50%629 W · 629 L	-4.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Sinner	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Sinner	58c	58.62$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.62	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+3.1wins	+0.21per pick	66cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ace…b219backed Sinner	53c	56.34$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.34	124	63.7%79 W · 45 L	+9.4wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5)this page
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik SinnerSinner won
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs SinnerSinner won
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)Sinner won
Shelton vs. Sinner: Match O/U 36.5Under won
Shelton vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Shelton vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Shelton vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event