Tennis · resolved market
Shelton vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5d2a489441e68a1e79179b725ebe72ca8fe9015f3c95294cf1c60dd45518b40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under 3.5 | 55c | 5,228$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over 3.5 | 45c | 3,050$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.41 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Under 3.5 | 54c | 2,413$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.07 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over 3.5 | 46c | 2,124$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.89 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2b…920cbacked Over 3.5 | 48c | 1,761$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under 3.5 | 54c | 1,389$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.41 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over 3.5 | 46c | 1,005$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.51 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Over 3.5 | 45c | 971.55$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.48 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Under 3.5 | 58c | 733.24$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.23 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over 3.5 | 45c | 649.66$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.91 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Under 3.5 | 55c | 554.58$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.56 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Under 3.5 | 56c | 533.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.97 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Under 3.5 | 58c | 434.64$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.08 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under 3.5 | 56c | 408$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Under 3.5 | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over 3.5 | 47c | 300.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.53 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…8665backed Over 3.5 | 44c | 293.18$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over 3.5 | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…9248backed Over 3.5 | 45c | 233.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817e…537ebacked Over 3.5 | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 53c | 213$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under 3.5 | 56c | 143.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Under 3.5 | 56c | 143.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under 3.5 | 54c | 140.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Under 3.5 | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Over 3.5 | 43c | 118$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Over 3.5 | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Over 3.5 | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over 3.5 | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…65a4backed Under 3.5 | 57c | 100.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Over 3.5 | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Under 3.5 | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under 3.5 | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Over 3.5 | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…c9c9backed Over 3.5 | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…3fd1backed Under 3.5 | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over 3.5 | 44c | 84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over 3.5 | 44c | 78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over 3.5 | 45c | 76.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over 3.5 | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…4145backed Under 3.5 | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Over 3.5 | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over 3.5 | 43c | 58.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over 3.5 | 45c | 57.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Over 3.5 | 46c | 48.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over 3.5 | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under 3.5 | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…5db2backed Over 3.5 | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…5aa9backed Over 3.5 | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…838fbacked Under 3.5 | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +14.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over 3.5 | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Under 3.5 | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over 3.5 | 43c | 38.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over 3.5 | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…ca56backed Under 3.5 | 56c | 36.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over 3.5 | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over 3.5 | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over 3.5 | 46c | 32.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Over 3.5 | 46c | 29.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Under 3.5 | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed Over 3.5 | 40c | 26.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over 3.5 | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Under 3.5 | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…a294backed Over 3.5 | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…7f64backed Under 3.5 | 57c | 24.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over 3.5 | 43c | 24.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed Under 3.5 | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Under 3.5 | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Under 3.5 | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Under 3.5 | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Under 3.5 | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shelton vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik SinnerSinner won
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs SinnerSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5)Sinner won
- Shelton vs. Sinner: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.