TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open Sud de France: Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nardiof Nardi, Cobolli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$385,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$454,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,555 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Cobolli57c50,000$28,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,499.952850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Nardi50c45,995$23,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,809.780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Nardi47c39,879$18,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,938.4819134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cobolli47c34,446$16,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,124.792,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nardi45c20,319$9,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,214.6925428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cobolli36c19,575$7,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,094.972,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cobolli54c19,571$10,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,608.876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Nardi46c16,115$7,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,733.149645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nardi52c10,933$5,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,274.9511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed Nardi45c10,891$4,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,990.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf403…e176backed Cobolli56c10,891$6,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,060.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Nardi43c6,393$2,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.9524448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nardi43c6,296$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,575.7721338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Cobolli30c5,643$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.291,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Cobolli54c5,102$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.285228.8%15 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Nardi47c4,583$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.8548851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Nardi43c4,282$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.9948552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Cobolli57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.9876146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6286…5307backed Cobolli54c3,960$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x632a…ac85backed Nardi46c3,960$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Cobolli32c3,865$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.6897046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Cobolli55c3,690$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.6793055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Cobolli55c3,681$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.7123126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Cobolli19c3,292$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6164055%22 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2825…c0e3backed Cobolli54c2,971$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cobolli45c2,831$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.943,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Nardi44c2,793$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.2343051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cobolli23c2,251$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.592,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Nardi47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6644163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Nardi43c2,000$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.971,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cobolli56c1,970$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.217452.9%92 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Cobolli57c1,881$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.9712949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Nardi43c1,872$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.6316340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Nardi59c1,846$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.683956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Cobolli35c1,827$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64013260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Nardi47c1,781$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.795036%18 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Cobolli6c1,754$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6912033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Cobolli28c1,750$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4926833.8%23 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd420…01fcbacked Cobolli59c1,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013158%76 W · 55 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Cobolli50c1,684$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.324060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Cobolli57c1,635$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.0824846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Cobolli18c1,618$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2859737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Cobolli55c1,478$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.912450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Nardi43c1,392$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.342441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Cobolli38c1,325$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Cobolli21c1,323$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5575748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Nardi46c1,300$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70157645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Cobolli55c1,138$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.732365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cobolli38c1,118$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.818,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Nardi46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.9916133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Cobolli2c1,074$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.773834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked Cobolli47c1,072$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Nardi47c1,066$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.981,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Cobolli54c1,014$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.5618548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Cobolli58c1,007$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.525354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Nardi49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0826…8738backed Cobolli57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe084…04c0backed Nardi43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed Cobolli44c1,000$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43513554.8%74 W · 61 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Cobolli57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Cobolli54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cobolli23c805.41$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.136,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nardi65c799.23$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.727,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Cobolli49c781.79$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38037444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cobolli22c770$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8465647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cobolli24c755$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.634,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Nardi43c751.5$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.6520043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Cobolli54c710$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.427733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9e…6d8fbacked Cobolli57c702.2$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Nardi60c700.47$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.322,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71db…12febacked Nardi44c683.06$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Cobolli45c657.88$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.128462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6603…ac71backed Nardi44c648$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Cobolli19c605.16$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.981850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Cobolli15c581.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.355267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Cobolli45c508.44$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9542042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Nardi43c508.4$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.7914450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Cobolli58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Cobolli57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3fa…1d28backed Cobolli20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Nardi76c484.62$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3131647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Nardi46c473.56$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5646553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Nardi44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5519846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Cobolli55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Cobolli62c395.99$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.552065%13 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cobolli52c381.75$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.517,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Cobolli49c372.75$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.172,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Cobolli57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Cobolli58c347.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Nardi46c345.65$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.656732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Nardi43c320.3$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5742141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Cobolli56c317$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.622853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Nardi46c295.65$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6598240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Nardi44c268.97$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.626851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Cobolli57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Cobolli55c254.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406258.1%36 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cobolli52c253.52$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.836,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f6b…8557backed Cobolli55c252.16$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cobolli53c250.63$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.383,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Nardi43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.516046.9%75 W · 85 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.