Tennis · resolved market
Open Sud de France: Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6caf474913daac229227293e5d802447748c7323986ef3fa6e2c1576a70048e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nardiof Nardi, Cobolli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Cobolli | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,499.95 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Nardi | 50c | 45,995$23,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,809.7 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Nardi | 47c | 39,879$18,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,938.48 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cobolli | 47c | 34,446$16,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,124.79 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nardi | 45c | 20,319$9,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,214.69 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cobolli | 36c | 19,575$7,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,094.97 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cobolli | 54c | 19,571$10,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,608.8 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Nardi | 46c | 16,115$7,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,733.14 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nardi | 52c | 10,933$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,274.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Nardi | 45c | 10,891$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Cobolli | 56c | 10,891$6,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,060.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Nardi | 43c | 6,393$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.95 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nardi | 43c | 6,296$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.77 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Cobolli | 30c | 5,643$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.29 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Cobolli | 54c | 5,102$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.28 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Nardi | 47c | 4,583$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.85 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Nardi | 43c | 4,282$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.99 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Cobolli | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.98 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed Cobolli | 54c | 3,960$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed Nardi | 46c | 3,960$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Cobolli | 32c | 3,865$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.68 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Cobolli | 55c | 3,690$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.67 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Cobolli | 55c | 3,681$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.71 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Cobolli | 19c | 3,292$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…c0e3backed Cobolli | 54c | 2,971$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cobolli | 45c | 2,831$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.94 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Nardi | 44c | 2,793$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.23 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cobolli | 23c | 2,251$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.59 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Nardi | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Nardi | 43c | 2,000$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.97 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cobolli | 56c | 1,970$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.2 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Cobolli | 57c | 1,881$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.97 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Nardi | 43c | 1,872$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.63 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Nardi | 59c | 1,846$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.68 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Cobolli | 35c | 1,827$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Nardi | 47c | 1,781$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.79 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Cobolli | 6c | 1,754$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Cobolli | 28c | 1,750$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Cobolli | 59c | 1,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Cobolli | 50c | 1,684$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.3 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cobolli | 57c | 1,635$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.08 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cobolli | 18c | 1,618$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cobolli | 55c | 1,478$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.9 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Nardi | 43c | 1,392$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.34 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cobolli | 38c | 1,325$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cobolli | 21c | 1,323$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.55 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Nardi | 46c | 1,300$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Cobolli | 55c | 1,138$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.73 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cobolli | 38c | 1,118$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.81 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Nardi | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.99 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Cobolli | 2c | 1,074$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Cobolli | 47c | 1,072$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Nardi | 47c | 1,066$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.98 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Cobolli | 54c | 1,014$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.56 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…b911backed Cobolli | 58c | 1,007$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.52 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Nardi | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…8738backed Cobolli | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe084…04c0backed Nardi | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Cobolli | 44c | 1,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Cobolli | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Cobolli | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cobolli | 23c | 805.41$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nardi | 65c | 799.23$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.72 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Cobolli | 49c | 781.79$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cobolli | 22c | 770$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.84 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cobolli | 24c | 755$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.63 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Nardi | 43c | 751.5$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.65 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Cobolli | 54c | 710$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.4 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…6d8fbacked Cobolli | 57c | 702.2$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nardi | 60c | 700.47$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.32 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…12febacked Nardi | 44c | 683.06$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked Cobolli | 45c | 657.88$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.1 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…ac71backed Nardi | 44c | 648$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Cobolli | 19c | 605.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Cobolli | 15c | 581.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Cobolli | 45c | 508.44$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.95 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nardi | 43c | 508.4$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.79 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Cobolli | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Cobolli | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fa…1d28backed Cobolli | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Nardi | 76c | 484.62$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Nardi | 46c | 473.56$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.56 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Nardi | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Cobolli | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…15d5backed Cobolli | 62c | 395.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cobolli | 52c | 381.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.51 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Cobolli | 49c | 372.75$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Cobolli | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Cobolli | 58c | 347.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Nardi | 46c | 345.65$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nardi | 43c | 320.3$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.57 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Cobolli | 56c | 317$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Nardi | 46c | 295.65$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.65 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Nardi | 44c | 268.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Cobolli | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Cobolli | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cobolli | 52c | 253.52$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…8557backed Cobolli | 55c | 252.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cobolli | 53c | 250.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Nardi | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Open Sud de France: Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobollithis page
- Nardi vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Nardi vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Nardi vs. Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Nardi vs CobolliNardi won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Nardi (+1.5)Nardi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.