Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc0a1b549e88f435f40be56665b9ac4c0fbf0958608e88a8180196c09f1be647
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 28,066$12,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,178.25 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 60c | 27,138$16,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,855.2 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 61c | 19,019$11,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,495.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 12,615$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.16 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked No | 40c | 10,080$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 59c | 8,553$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,488.44 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 6,731$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.04 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 60c | 6,559$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.92 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 27c | 6,145$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 49c | 4,999$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 56c | 3,866$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 57c | 3,525$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.41 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 39c | 3,400$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.57 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 49c | 3,287$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 60c | 3,228$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.08 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 55c | 2,997$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.88 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 61c | 2,643$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.44 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 2,560$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.3 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 2,472$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.99 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 2,280$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.98 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.01 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 41c | 1,709$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.75 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 1,216$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.19 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 67c | 1,081$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.51 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 41c | 1,046$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 45c | 1,014$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.63 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Yes | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 39c | 999.95$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 60c | 820$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 60c | 734.65$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.86 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Yes | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 49c | 616.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 41c | 597$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.77 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 41c | 562.89$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 39c | 548.75$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.08 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 58c | 500$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 59c | 466$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.06 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 60c | 449.39$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.65 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 62c | 434.13$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…6d35backed Yes | 49c | 430.61$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 58c | 415.48$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.48 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes | 47c | 408.17$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 40c | 380.54$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.22 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 62c | 339.79$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 40c | 316$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 38c | 266.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 42c | 256.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 59c | 251$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 40c | 249$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 56c | 232.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 60c | 170.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd784…26a3backed Yes | 60c | 166.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 58c | 165$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Yes | 59c | 135$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Yes | 79c | 128.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 124.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 61c | 122.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Yes | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 40c | 116.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes | 60c | 101$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299e…31a6backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.